# West Ham United v Queens Park Rangers — the Match Wizard Championship, game week 9 — Friday, 9 October 2026, kick-off 20:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. West Ham United: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season in the Premier League. Queens Park Rangers: 50 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **West Ham United is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### West Ham United -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 2nd of 24 after 8 games, with 15 points. It was not in this division last season -- it came down from the Premier League, where it finished 18th of 20. - **Its block:** New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (9th to 16th). Against that block it has won 4, drew 4, lost 7 of 15 -- 16 points of 45. At home against them: won 3 of 7. Away against them: won 1 of 8. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 2, drew 6, lost 7 of 15 (0.80 a game); against the middle block won 4, drew 4, lost 7 of 15 (1.07 a game); against the bottom block won 6, drew 1, lost 6 of 13 (1.46 a game); against sides new to the division won 2, drew 1, lost 0 of 3 (2.33 a game). ### Queens Park Rangers -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 7th of 24 after 8 games, with 13 points. Last season it finished 15th of 24 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (9th to 16th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 8 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side new to its division. Against that block it has won 1, drew 1, lost 0 of 2. At home against them: won 1 of 2. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 4, drew 0, lost 12 of 16 (0.75 a game); against the middle block won 4, drew 4, lost 5 of 13 (1.23 a game); against the bottom block won 9, drew 8, lost 2 of 19 (1.84 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 1, lost 0 of 2 (2.00 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+0.03 points a game is the venue form gap, in West Ham United's favour: West Ham United takes 1.35 a game at home over the last two seasons, Queens Park Rangers 1.32 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### West Ham United -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 3, drew 0, lost 1 of 4, scoring 14 and conceding 4. Last season at home in the Premier League: won 6, drew 4, lost 9 of 19, scoring 27 and conceding 30 -- 1.16 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: drew with Millwall 2-2 away; beat Wrexham 6-0 at home; beat Bolton Wanderers 3-2 away; beat Derby County 3-0 at home; beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-2 at home. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 46 matches with one recorded (41, 5 apiece), most recently Nuno Herlander Simões Espírito Santo with 41. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Queens Park Rangers -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 2, drew 2, lost 0 of 4, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Last season away: won 6, drew 7, lost 8 of 21, scoring 19 and conceding 27 -- 1.19 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: drew with Preston North End 2-2 at home; drew with West Bromwich Albion 1-1 away; drew with Charlton Athletic 0-0 away; lost to Middlesbrough 0-1 at home; beat Cardiff City 2-1 at home. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 36 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Julien Stéphan. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **West Ham United scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Queens Park Rangers scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 46-60. The shapes mesh: Queens Park Rangers's strongest scoring spell is exactly where West Ham United is softest.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: West Ham United scores most in the 76-90+ band (19 of 68); West Ham United concedes most in the 76-90+ band (17 of 76); Queens Park Rangers scores most in the 76-90+ band (16 of 65); Queens Park Rangers concedes most in the 46-60 band (14 of 69). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### West Ham United -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.5 and concedes 1.7 a game over its last 46 league matches; at home, 1.8 for and 1.5 against over 23. - **When it scores:** Of 68 scored across its own 46 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 12; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 13; 76-90+: 19. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 19 of 68 (28%). - **When it concedes:** Of 76 conceded across its own 46 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 12; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 11; 61-75: 15; 76-90+: 17. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 17 of 76 (22%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 21 of its 46 read -- then won 12, drew 5, lost 4; conceded first in 23 -- pulled back 2 wins and 5 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 14 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 13 of its 46 read, winning 10 of them; trailed by two in 15, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 9. ### Queens Park Rangers -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.3 and concedes 1.4 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.0 for and 1.2 against over 25. - **When it scores:** Of 65 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 15; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 16. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 16 of 65 (25%). - **When it concedes:** Of 69 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 13; 16-30: 10; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 14; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 12. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 15 of its 50 read -- then won 12, drew 1, lost 2; conceded first in 27 -- pulled back 6 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 22 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 10 of its 50 read, winning 10 of them; trailed by two in 14, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 3. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 63% of their games, both teams scoring in 58%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 46%. On the record this leans a goals match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- West Ham United's numbers over its games, Queens Park Rangers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In West Ham United's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (57%). In Queens Park Rangers's own 25 away matches read, 9 (36%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 46% of games. ### West Ham United -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 46 (65%); over 1.5 in 41 (89%); over 3.5 in 16 (35%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 23 (70%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 26 of its own 46 (57%). At home: 13 of its 23 (57%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 46 (20%); failed to score in 13 (28%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over West Ham United's own 46 matches read: West Ham United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (61%). West Ham United itself held the lead in 13, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 23. ### Queens Park Rangers -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 50 (60%); over 1.5 in 36 (72%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 25 (44%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). Away: 13 of its 25 (52%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 16 (32%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Queens Park Rangers's own 50 matches read: Queens Park Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Queens Park Rangers itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **West Ham United is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season. +0.03 points a game is the venue form gap, in West Ham United's favour: West Ham United takes 1.35 a game at home over the last two seasons, Queens Park Rangers 1.32 away. West Ham United scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Queens Park Rangers scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 46-60. The shapes mesh: Queens Park Rangers's strongest scoring spell is exactly where West Ham United is softest. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 63% of their games, both teams scoring in 58%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 46%. On the record this leans a goals match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: West Ham United lands the first blow more often (21 of 46 to 15 of 50); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often West Ham United's -- two goals clear in 13 of 46, against 10 of 50; a one-goal lead has not been safe in West Ham United's hands -- ahead without winning in 9 of 46; West Ham United finds its goals latest of all -- 19 of its 68 after the 75th; Queens Park Rangers finds its goals latest of all -- 16 of its 65 after the 75th, and West Ham United concedes most in that same spell; the last quarter-hour is where this fixture's money is likeliest to move. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: West Ham United 1.51 goals expected, Queens Park Rangers 1.23, from two seasons of scoring rates (23 home matches and 25 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. Note: West Ham United's figures include last season in the Premier League, where goals came against different company. - **Match result:** Our tissue: West Ham United 2.28 (44%), the draw 3.95 (25%), Queens Park Rangers 3.23 (31%). The market's averages: 1.49, 4.60 and 5.10. The widest gap is on Queens Park Rangers: the market offers 5.10 against our 3.23. If our figures are right that is value; nothing proves they are. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.94 (52%), under 2.5 2.07 (48%). The market's averages: over 2.5 1.51, under 2.5 2.33. The market is shorter than our number on over 2.5. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.81 (55%), no 2.23 (45%). The market's averages: yes 1.62, no 2.25. Close to our view -- no argument either way. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In West Ham United's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (57%). In Queens Park Rangers's own 25 away matches read, 9 (36%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 46% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/championship/2026-10-09/west-ham-united-v-queens-park-rangers/halftime/ Built 2026-10-07T18:01:36+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.