# Stockport County v Peterborough United — the Match Wizard League One, game week 8 — Saturday, 26 September 2026, kick-off 15:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Stockport County: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Peterborough United: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **The table makes Stockport County the bigger side: 4th against 18th of 24 last season. Against the block the other keeps: Stockport County takes 1.93 points a game, Peterborough United 0.75 -- the block form is Stockport County's.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Stockport County -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 9th of 24 after 7 games, with 10 points. Last season it finished 4th of 24 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the top block (1st to 8th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 7 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the bottom block (17th to 24th). Against that block it has won 8, drew 3, lost 3 of 14 -- 27 points of 42. At home against them: won 5 of 7. Away against them: won 3 of 7. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 4, drew 4, lost 9 of 17 (0.94 a game); against the middle block won 12, drew 2, lost 3 of 17 (2.24 a game); against the bottom block won 8, drew 3, lost 3 of 14 (1.93 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 1, lost 1 of 2 (0.50 a game). ### Peterborough United -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 23rd of 24 after 7 games, with 5 points. Last season it finished 18th of 24 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the bottom block (17th to 24th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 7 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the top block (1st to 8th). Against that block it has won 3, drew 3, lost 10 of 16 -- 12 points of 48. At home against them: won 2 of 8. Away against them: won 1 of 8. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 3, drew 3, lost 10 of 16 (0.75 a game); against the middle block won 6, drew 2, lost 10 of 18 (1.11 a game); against the bottom block won 7, drew 4, lost 3 of 14 (1.79 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 1, lost 1 of 2 (0.50 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+0.79 points a game is the venue form gap, in Stockport County's favour: Stockport County takes 1.79 a game at home over the last two seasons, Peterborough United 1.00 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Stockport County -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 1, drew 0, lost 2 of 3, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Last season at home: won 12, drew 4, lost 5 of 21, scoring 35 and conceding 23 -- 1.90 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: drew with Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 away; lost to Leicester City 3-4 at home; beat Wigan Athletic 4-0 away; lost to Luton Town 0-2 away; beat Wycombe Wanderers 5-1 at home. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 24 matches with one recorded (17, 7 apiece), most recently Jim McNulty with 7. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Peterborough United -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 0, drew 1, lost 2 of 3, scoring 1 and conceding 7. Last season away: won 7, drew 2, lost 12 of 21, scoring 24 and conceding 34 -- 1.10 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Doncaster Rovers 0-2 at home; drew with Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 away; lost to Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 at home; drew with Stevenage 0-0 at home; lost to Blackpool 0-4 away. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 23 matches with one recorded (16, 7 apiece), most recently Luke Williams with 16. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Stockport County scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Peterborough United scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 46-60. The shapes mesh: Peterborough United's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Stockport County is softest.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Stockport County scores most in the 76-90+ band (20 of 81); Stockport County concedes most in the 76-90+ band (14 of 65); Peterborough United scores most in the 76-90+ band (18 of 67); Peterborough United concedes most in the 46-60 band (21 of 74). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Stockport County -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.3 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 1.8 for and 1.2 against over 24. - **When it scores:** Of 81 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 18; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 11; 76-90+: 20. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 20 of 81 (25%). - **When it concedes:** Of 65 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 10; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 11; 61-75: 9; 76-90+: 14. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 14 of 65 (22%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 24 of its 50 read -- then won 19, drew 4, lost 1; conceded first in 23 -- pulled back 5 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 18 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 16 of its 50 read, winning 15 of them; trailed by two in 11, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 6. ### Peterborough United -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.3 and concedes 1.5 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.0 for and 1.7 against over 24. - **When it scores:** Of 67 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 12; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 18. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 18 of 67 (27%). - **When it concedes:** Of 74 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 13; 31-45+: 12; 46-60: 21; 61-75: 9; 76-90+: 12. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 21 of its 50 read -- then won 16, drew 1, lost 4; conceded first in 27 -- pulled back 0 wins and 7 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 8 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 10 of its 50 read, winning 10 of them; trailed by two in 18, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 5. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 58% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 56%. On the record this leans a goals match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Stockport County's numbers over its games, Peterborough United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Stockport County's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (50%). In Peterborough United's own 24 away matches read, 15 (62%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 56% of games. ### Stockport County -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 50 (60%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 15 of its 24 (62%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 28 of its own 50 (56%). At home: 15 of its 24 (62%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 15 of its own 50 (30%); failed to score in 10 (20%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Stockport County's own 50 matches read: Stockport County or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 27 (54%). Stockport County itself held the lead in 16, winning 15. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 24. ### Peterborough United -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 50 (56%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 24 (54%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 29 of its own 50 (58%). Away: 14 of its 24 (58%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 12 (24%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Peterborough United's own 50 matches read: Peterborough United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (56%). Peterborough United itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 24. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **The table makes Stockport County the bigger side: 4th against 18th of 24 last season. Against the block the other keeps: Stockport County takes 1.93 points a game, Peterborough United 0.75 -- the block form is Stockport County's. +0.79 points a game is the venue form gap, in Stockport County's favour: Stockport County takes 1.79 a game at home over the last two seasons, Peterborough United 1.00 away. Stockport County scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Peterborough United scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 46-60. The shapes mesh: Peterborough United's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Stockport County is softest. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 58% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 56%. On the record this leans a goals match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: the first blow is even money on the record (24 of 50 and 21 of 50); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Stockport County's -- two goals clear in 16 of 50, against 10 of 50; Stockport County finds its goals latest of all -- 20 of its 81 after the 75th; Peterborough United finds its goals latest of all -- 18 of its 67 after the 75th, and Stockport County concedes most in that same spell; the last quarter-hour is where this fixture's money is likeliest to move. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Stockport County 1.98 goals expected, Peterborough United 1.14, from two seasons of scoring rates (24 home matches and 24 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Stockport County 1.76 (57%), the draw 4.63 (22%), Peterborough United 4.66 (21%). The market's averages: 1.40, 5.00 and 6.40. The widest gap is on Peterborough United: the market offers 6.40 against our 4.66. If our figures are right that is value; nothing proves they are. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.66 (60%), under 2.5 2.52 (40%). The market's averages: over 2.5 1.40, under 2.5 2.87. The market is shorter than our number on over 2.5. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.71 (59%), no 2.42 (41%). The market's averages: yes 1.57, no 2.26. Close to our view -- no argument either way. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Stockport County's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (50%). In Peterborough United's own 24 away matches read, 15 (62%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 56% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/league-one/2026-09-26/stockport-county-v-peterborough-united/halftime/ Built 2026-09-23T23:05:01+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.