# Stockport County v Bromley — the Match Wizard League One, game week 11 — Saturday, 17 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Stockport County: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Bromley: 50 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season in the League Two. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **Bromley is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Stockport County -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 3rd of 24 after 9 games, with 16 points. Last season it finished 4th of 24 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the top block (1st to 8th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 9 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side new to its division. Against that block it has won 0, drew 1, lost 1 of 2. At home against them: won 0 of 1. Away against them: won 0 of 1. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 4, drew 3, lost 8 of 15 (1.00 a game); against the middle block won 13, drew 2, lost 3 of 18 (2.28 a game); against the bottom block won 9, drew 3, lost 3 of 15 (2.00 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 1, lost 1 of 2 (0.50 a game). ### Bromley -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 21st of 24 after 8 games, with 8 points. It was not in this division last season -- it came up from the League Two, where it finished 2nd of 24. - **Its block:** New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the top block (1st to 8th). Against that block it has won 3, drew 7, lost 3 of 13 -- 16 points of 39. At home against them: won 3 of 6. Away against them: won 0 of 7. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 3, drew 7, lost 3 of 13 (1.23 a game); against the middle block won 12, drew 3, lost 4 of 19 (2.05 a game); against the bottom block won 9, drew 4, lost 3 of 16 (1.94 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 1, lost 1 of 2 (0.50 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+0.48 points a game is the venue form gap, in Stockport County's favour: Stockport County takes 1.92 a game at home over the last two seasons, Bromley 1.44 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Stockport County -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 3, drew 0, lost 2 of 5, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Last season at home: won 12, drew 3, lost 5 of 20, scoring 34 and conceding 22 -- 1.95 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Barnsley 3-1 at home; beat Peterborough United 1-0 at home; drew with Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 away; lost to Leicester City 3-4 at home; beat Wigan Athletic 4-0 away. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 24 matches with one recorded (15, 9 apiece), most recently Jim McNulty with 9. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Bromley -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 1, drew 1, lost 2 of 4, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Last season away in the League Two: won 9, drew 5, lost 7 of 21, scoring 28 and conceding 24 -- 1.52 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Mansfield Town 1-2 away; beat Huddersfield Town 2-1 at home; drew with Blackpool 2-2 away; lost to AFC Wimbledon 0-2 at home; lost to Leyton Orient 0-5 at home. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 21 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Andy Woodman. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Stockport County scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Bromley scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 31-45+. The shapes mesh: Bromley's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Stockport County is softest.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Stockport County scores most in the 76-90+ band (20 of 82); Stockport County concedes most in the 76-90+ band (13 of 61); Bromley scores most in the 76-90+ band (16 of 74); Bromley concedes most in the 31-45+ band (15 of 63). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Stockport County -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 1.9 for and 1.2 against over 25. - **When it scores:** Of 82 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 18; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 13; 61-75: 13; 76-90+: 20. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 20 of 82 (24%). - **When it concedes:** Of 61 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 9; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 12; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 13. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 13 of 61 (21%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 24 of its 50 read -- then won 20, drew 3, lost 1; conceded first in 23 -- pulled back 6 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 21 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 17 of its 50 read, winning 16 of them; trailed by two in 10, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 5. ### Bromley -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.5 and concedes 1.3 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.4 for and 1.4 against over 25. - **When it scores:** Of 74 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 9; 16-30: 12; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 13; 61-75: 14; 76-90+: 16. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 16 of 74 (22%). - **When it concedes:** Of 63 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 15; 46-60: 13; 61-75: 9; 76-90+: 10. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 28 of its 50 read -- then won 18, drew 8, lost 2; conceded first in 18 -- pulled back 6 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 23 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 12 of its 50 read, winning 10 of them; trailed by two in 9, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 10. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 57% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record this leans a goals match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Stockport County's numbers over its games, Bromley's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Stockport County's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (52%). In Bromley's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games. ### Stockport County -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 50 (60%); over 1.5 in 38 (76%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 25 (64%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 27 of its own 50 (54%). At home: 15 of its 25 (60%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 50 (32%); failed to score in 10 (20%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Stockport County's own 50 matches read: Stockport County or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 27 (54%). Stockport County itself held the lead in 17, winning 16. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 25. ### Bromley -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). Away: 14 of its 25 (56%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 15 of its own 50 (30%); failed to score in 9 (18%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Bromley's own 50 matches read: Bromley or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (42%). Bromley itself held the lead in 12, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **Bromley is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season. +0.48 points a game is the venue form gap, in Stockport County's favour: Stockport County takes 1.92 a game at home over the last two seasons, Bromley 1.44 away. Stockport County scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Bromley scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 31-45+. The shapes mesh: Bromley's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Stockport County is softest. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 57% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record this leans a goals match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: Bromley lands the first blow more often (28 of 50 to 24 of 50); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Stockport County's -- two goals clear in 17 of 50, against 12 of 50; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Bromley's hands -- ahead without winning in 10 of 50; Stockport County finds its goals latest of all -- 20 of its 82 after the 75th; Bromley finds its goals latest of all -- 16 of its 74 after the 75th, and Stockport County concedes most in that same spell; the last quarter-hour is where this fixture's money is likeliest to move. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Stockport County 1.73 goals expected, Bromley 1.37, from two seasons of scoring rates (25 home matches and 25 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. Note: Bromley's figures include last season in the League Two, where goals came against different company. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Stockport County 2.17 (46%), the draw 4.26 (23%), Bromley 3.28 (31%). The market's averages: 1.22, 6.20 and 9.50. The widest gap is on Bromley: the market offers 9.50 against our 3.28. If our figures are right that is value; nothing proves they are. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.67 (60%), under 2.5 2.48 (40%). The market's averages: over 2.5 1.36, under 2.5 2.70. The market is shorter than our number on over 2.5. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.63 (61%), no 2.58 (39%). The market's averages: yes 1.82, no 1.88. Close to our view -- no argument either way. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Stockport County's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (52%). In Bromley's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/league-one/2026-10-17/stockport-county-v-bromley/halftime/ Built 2026-10-16T02:23:24+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.