# Gateshead v Solihull Moors — the Match Wizard National League, game week 6 — Saturday, 5 September 2026, kick-off 15:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Gateshead: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Solihull Moors: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **The table makes Solihull Moors the bigger side: 14th against 18th of 24 last season. Against the block the other keeps: Gateshead takes 1.06 points a game, Solihull Moors 1.69 -- the block form is Solihull Moors's.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Gateshead -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 22nd of 24 after 5 games, with 3 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 18th of 24 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the bottom block (17th to 24th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 5 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (9th to 16th). Against that block it has won 6, drew 1, lost 11 of 18 -- 19 points of 54. At home against them: won 4 of 9. Away against them: won 2 of 9. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 3, drew 2, lost 10 of 15 (0.73 a game); against the middle block won 6, drew 1, lost 11 of 18 (1.06 a game); against the bottom block won 6, drew 5, lost 5 of 16 (1.44 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 0, lost 1 of 1 (0.00 a game). ### Solihull Moors -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 24th of 24 after 5 games, with 0 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 14th of 24 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (9th to 16th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 5 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the bottom block (17th to 24th). Against that block it has won 7, drew 6, lost 3 of 16 -- 27 points of 48. At home against them: won 4 of 8. Away against them: won 3 of 8. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 3, drew 5, lost 9 of 17 (0.82 a game); against the middle block won 4, drew 2, lost 9 of 15 (0.93 a game); against the bottom block won 7, drew 6, lost 3 of 16 (1.69 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 0, lost 2 of 2 (0.00 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **-0.08 points a game is the venue form gap, in Solihull Moors's favour: Gateshead takes 1.04 a game at home over the last two seasons, Solihull Moors 1.12 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Gateshead -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 1, drew 0, lost 1 of 2, scoring 2 and conceding 1. Last season at home: won 6, drew 4, lost 12 of 22, scoring 25 and conceding 41 -- 1.00 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Harrogate Town 1-2 away; lost to Sutton United 0-1 at home; lost to Yeovil Town 0-3 away; beat Woking 2-0 at home; lost to Eastleigh 1-2 away. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 3 different managers took its 14 matches with one recorded (6, 4, 4 apiece), most recently Lee Cattermole with 4. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Solihull Moors -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 0, drew 0, lost 2 of 2, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Last season away: won 6, drew 10, lost 7 of 23, scoring 27 and conceding 30 -- 1.22 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Fylde 1-3 at home; lost to Scunthorpe United 1-3 away; lost to Southend United 1-3 at home; lost to Boston United 0-2 at home; lost to Harrogate Town 2-5 away. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 3 different managers took its 22 matches with one recorded (12, 9, 1 apiece), most recently Chris Millington with 12. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Gateshead scores heaviest in the 46-60 spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Solihull Moors scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Solihull Moors's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Gateshead is softest.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Gateshead scores most in the 46-60 band (12 of 58); Gateshead concedes most in the 76-90+ band (26 of 95); Solihull Moors scores most in the 76-90+ band (16 of 74); Solihull Moors concedes most in the 76-90+ band (22 of 86). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Gateshead -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.2 and concedes 1.9 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 1.1 for and 1.8 against over 24. - **When it scores:** Of 58 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 10; 76-90+: 8. - **When it concedes:** Of 95 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 16; 16-30: 17; 31-45+: 15; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 26. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 26 of 95 (27%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 21 of its 50 read -- then won 13, drew 3, lost 5; conceded first in 27 -- pulled back 2 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 11 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 9 of its 50 read, winning 9 of them; trailed by two in 24, rescuing 3 results; was ahead at some point without winning in 9. ### Solihull Moors -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.5 and concedes 1.7 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.2 for and 1.5 against over 25. - **When it scores:** Of 74 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 14; 31-45+: 14; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 16. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 16 of 74 (22%). - **When it concedes:** Of 86 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 12; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 19; 61-75: 14; 76-90+: 22. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 22 of 86 (26%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 25 of its 50 read -- then won 13, drew 7, lost 5; conceded first in 21 -- pulled back 1 win and 2 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 7 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 13 of its 50 read, winning 10 of them; trailed by two in 16, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 13. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 59% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 59%. On the record this leans a goals match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Gateshead's numbers over its games, Solihull Moors's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Gateshead's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 17 (71%). In Solihull Moors's own 25 away matches read, 12 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 59% of games. ### Gateshead -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 32 of its own 50 (64%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 16 (32%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 24 (54%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 26 of its own 50 (52%). At home: 11 of its 24 (46%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 50 (16%); failed to score in 18 (36%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Gateshead's own 50 matches read: Gateshead or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 33 (66%). Gateshead itself held the lead in 9, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 17 of 24. ### Solihull Moors -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 18 (36%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 25 (40%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 27 of its own 50 (54%). Away: 14 of its 25 (56%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 15 (30%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Solihull Moors's own 50 matches read: Solihull Moors or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (56%). Solihull Moors itself held the lead in 13, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **The table makes Solihull Moors the bigger side: 14th against 18th of 24 last season. Against the block the other keeps: Gateshead takes 1.06 points a game, Solihull Moors 1.69 -- the block form is Solihull Moors's. -0.08 points a game is the venue form gap, in Solihull Moors's favour: Gateshead takes 1.04 a game at home over the last two seasons, Solihull Moors 1.12 away. Gateshead scores heaviest in the 46-60 spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Solihull Moors scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Solihull Moors's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Gateshead is softest. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 59% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 59%. On the record this leans a goals match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: Solihull Moors lands the first blow more often (25 of 50 to 21 of 50); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Solihull Moors's -- two goals clear in 13 of 50, against 9 of 50; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Gateshead's hands -- ahead without winning in 9 of 50; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Solihull Moors's hands -- ahead without winning in 13 of 50; Solihull Moors finds its goals latest of all -- 16 of its 74 after the 75th, and Gateshead concedes most in that same spell; the last quarter-hour is where this fixture's money is likeliest to move. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Gateshead 1.18 goals expected, Solihull Moors 1.53, from two seasons of scoring rates (24 home matches and 25 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Gateshead 3.42 (29%), the draw 3.95 (25%), Solihull Moors 2.20 (45%). The market's averages: 2.40, 3.30 and 2.50. The widest gap is on Gateshead: the market is shorter (2.40) than our 3.42 -- it rates that outcome more than we do. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.96 (51%), under 2.5 2.04 (49%). The market's averages: over 2.5 1.58, under 2.5 2.10. The market is shorter than our number on over 2.5. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.84 (54%), no 2.19 (46%). The market's averages: yes 1.50, no 2.45. The market is shorter than our number on yes. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Gateshead's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 17 (71%). In Solihull Moors's own 25 away matches read, 12 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 59% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/national-league/2026-09-05/gateshead-v-solihull-moors/halftime/ Built 2026-09-05T05:10:16+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.