# Queen's Park v Inverness CT — the Match Wizard Scottish Championship, game week 9 — Tuesday, 13 October 2026, kick-off 19:45 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Queen's Park: 45 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Inverness CT: 45 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **Inverness CT is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Queen's Park -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 9th of 10 after 9 games, with 4 points. Last season it finished 6th of 10 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (4th to 7th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 9 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side new to its division. Against that block it has won 0, drew 0, lost 2 of 2. At home against them: won 0 of 1. Away against them: won 0 of 1. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 1, drew 5, lost 8 of 14 (0.57 a game); against the middle block won 2, drew 6, lost 8 of 16 (0.75 a game); against the bottom block won 7, drew 4, lost 2 of 13 (1.92 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 0, lost 2 of 2 (0.00 a game). ### Inverness CT -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 6th of 10 after 9 games, with 13 points. It was not in this division last season -- it came up from the Scottish League One, where it finished 1st of 10. - **Its block:** New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (4th to 7th). Against that block it has won 12, drew 5, lost 2 of 19 -- 41 points of 57. At home against them: won 7 of 10. Away against them: won 5 of 9. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 2, drew 6, lost 2 of 10 (1.20 a game); against the middle block won 12, drew 5, lost 2 of 19 (2.16 a game); against the bottom block won 9, drew 3, lost 1 of 13 (2.31 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 1, lost 1 of 3 (1.33 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **-0.50 points a game is the venue form gap, in Inverness CT's favour: Queen's Park takes 1.14 a game at home over the last two seasons, Inverness CT 1.64 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Queen's Park -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 1, drew 0, lost 3 of 4, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Last season at home: won 5, drew 7, lost 6 of 18, scoring 16 and conceding 20 -- 1.22 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Raith Rovers 0-2 away; lost to Arbroath 1-2 away; lost to Ayr United 0-2 at home; lost to Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 away; beat Greenock Morton 2-1 at home. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 1 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Steven MacLean. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Inverness CT -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 1, drew 2, lost 1 of 4, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Last season away in the Scottish League One: won 8, drew 7, lost 3 of 18, scoring 22 and conceding 12 -- 1.72 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Stenhousemuir 2-0 at home; beat Greenock Morton 2-0 at home; drew with Livingston 2-2 away; beat Ayr United 3-1 away; lost to Raith Rovers 0-2 at home. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 20 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Scott Kellacher. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Queen's Park scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 16-30; Inverness CT scores heaviest in 61-75 and concedes heaviest in 16-30.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Queen's Park scores most in the 76-90+ band (11 of 39); Queen's Park concedes most in the 16-30 band (14 of 63); Inverness CT scores most in the 61-75 band (16 of 71); Inverness CT concedes most in the 16-30 band (8 of 33). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Queen's Park -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 0.9 and concedes 1.4 a game over its last 45 league matches; at home, 0.9 for and 1.2 against over 22. - **When it scores:** Of 39 scored across its own 45 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 11. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 11 of 39 (28%). - **When it concedes:** Of 63 conceded across its own 45 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 14; 31-45+: 12; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 13. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 12 of its 45 read -- then won 8, drew 4, lost 0; conceded first in 27 -- pulled back 2 wins and 5 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 11 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 1 of its 45 read, winning 1 of them; trailed by two in 15, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 4. ### Inverness CT -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.6 and concedes 0.7 a game over its last 45 league matches; away, 1.3 for and 0.8 against over 22. - **When it scores:** Of 71 scored across its own 45 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 10; 31-45+: 12; 46-60: 13; 61-75: 16; 76-90+: 9. - **When it concedes:** Of 33 conceded across its own 45 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 4; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 8. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 8 of 33 (24%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 29 of its 45 read -- then won 23, drew 4, lost 2; conceded first in 12 -- pulled back 1 win and 7 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 10 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 17 of its 45 read, winning 17 of them; trailed by two in 4, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 7. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 38% of their games, both teams scoring in 49%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 34%. On the record this leans a tight match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Queen's Park's numbers over its games, Inverness CT's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Queen's Park's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (32%). In Inverness CT's own 22 away matches read, 8 (36%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 34% of games. ### Queen's Park -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 45 (38%); over 1.5 in 32 (71%); over 3.5 in 7 (16%). At home: over 2.5 in 8 of its 22 (36%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 23 of its own 45 (51%). At home: 11 of its 22 (50%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 45 (22%); failed to score in 18 (40%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Queen's Park's own 45 matches read: Queen's Park or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (36%). Queen's Park itself held the lead in 1, winning 1. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 22. ### Inverness CT -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 45 (38%); over 1.5 in 33 (73%); over 3.5 in 12 (27%). Away: over 2.5 in 7 of its 22 (32%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 21 of its own 45 (47%). Away: 10 of its 22 (45%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 22 of its own 45 (49%); failed to score in 6 (13%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Inverness CT's own 45 matches read: Inverness CT or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (47%). Inverness CT itself held the lead in 17, winning 17. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 22. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **Inverness CT is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season. -0.50 points a game is the venue form gap, in Inverness CT's favour: Queen's Park takes 1.14 a game at home over the last two seasons, Inverness CT 1.64 away. Queen's Park scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 16-30; Inverness CT scores heaviest in 61-75 and concedes heaviest in 16-30. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 38% of their games, both teams scoring in 49%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 34%. On the record this leans a tight match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: Inverness CT lands the first blow more often (29 of 45 to 12 of 45); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Inverness CT's -- two goals clear in 17 of 45, against 1 of 45; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Inverness CT's hands -- ahead without winning in 7 of 45; Queen's Park finds its goals latest of all -- 11 of its 39 after the 75th. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Queen's Park 0.67 goals expected, Inverness CT 1.36, from two seasons of scoring rates (22 home matches and 22 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. Note: Inverness CT's figures include last season in the Scottish League One, where goals came against different company. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Queen's Park 5.42 (18%), the draw 3.55 (28%), Inverness CT 1.87 (53%). The market's averages: 4.29, 3.50 and 1.67. The widest gap is on Queen's Park: the market is shorter (4.29) than our 5.42 -- it rates that outcome more than we do. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 3.02 (33%), under 2.5 1.49 (67%). The market's averages: over 2.5 1.88, under 2.5 1.79. The market is shorter than our number on over 2.5. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 2.76 (36%), no 1.57 (64%). The market's averages: yes 1.87, no 1.86. The market is shorter than our number on yes. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Queen's Park's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (32%). In Inverness CT's own 22 away matches read, 8 (36%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 34% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/scottish-championship/2026-10-13/queen-s-park-v-inverness-ct/halftime/ Built 2026-10-11T18:32:01+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.