# Queen's Park v Partick Thistle — the Match Wizard

Scottish Championship, game week 14 — Saturday, 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UK time.

> The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection.

Queen's Park: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season. Partick Thistle: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season.

## Step 1 of 4 — The table

**The table makes Partick Thistle the bigger side: 2nd against 6th of 10 last season. Against the block the other keeps: Queen's Park takes 0.57 points a game, Partick Thistle 2.00 -- the block form is Partick Thistle's.**

Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart?

### Queen's Park -- at home

- **Where it stands:** Stands 10th of 10 after 13 games, with 7 points. Last season it finished 6th of 10 in this division.
- **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (4th to 7th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 13 games old.
- **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the top block (1st to 3rd). Against that block it has won 1, drew 5, lost 8 of 14 -- 8 points of 42. At home against them: won 1 of 6. Away against them: won 0 of 8.
- **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 1, drew 5, lost 8 of 14 (0.57 a game); against the middle block won 2, drew 6, lost 10 of 18 (0.67 a game); against the bottom block won 7, drew 4, lost 3 of 14 (1.79 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 0, lost 2 of 3 (1.00 a game).

### Partick Thistle -- away

- **Where it stands:** Stands 1st of 10 after 13 games, with 25 points. Last season it finished 2nd of 10 in this division.
- **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the top block (1st to 3rd). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 13 games old.
- **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (4th to 7th). Against that block it has won 11, drew 9, lost 1 of 21 -- 42 points of 63. At home against them: won 7 of 11. Away against them: won 4 of 10.
- **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 2, drew 5, lost 2 of 9 (1.22 a game); against the middle block won 11, drew 9, lost 1 of 21 (2.00 a game); against the bottom block won 8, drew 4, lost 2 of 14 (2.00 a game); against sides new to the division won 3, drew 1, lost 1 of 5 (2.00 a game).


## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form

**-0.29 points a game is the venue form gap, in Partick Thistle's favour: Queen's Park takes 1.17 a game at home over the last two seasons, Partick Thistle 1.46 away.**

Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.

### Queen's Park -- at home

- **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 2, drew 0, lost 4 of 6, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Last season at home: won 5, drew 7, lost 6 of 18, scoring 16 and conceding 20 -- 1.22 points a game.
- **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Ayr United 2-3 away; lost to Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 at home; lost to Greenock Morton 0-2 away; beat Inverness CT 2-1 at home; lost to Raith Rovers 0-2 away.
- **The dugout:** Every one of the 1 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Steven MacLean. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.

### Partick Thistle -- away

- **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 3, drew 2, lost 1 of 6, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Last season away: won 5, drew 9, lost 4 of 18, scoring 23 and conceding 24 -- 1.33 points a game.
- **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Greenock Morton 2-3 at home; beat Stenhousemuir 3-0 at home; drew with Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 away; beat Ayr United 1-0 away; beat Livingston 2-1 away.
- **The dugout:** Every one of the 24 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Mark Wilson. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.


## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come

**Queen's Park scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 16-30; Partick Thistle scores heaviest in 1-15 and concedes heaviest in 61-75.**

Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.

Side by side: Queen's Park scores most in the 76-90+ band (12 of 43); Queen's Park concedes most in the 16-30 band (16 of 70); Partick Thistle scores most in the 1-15 band (18 of 70); Partick Thistle concedes most in the 61-75 band (9 of 43). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.

### Queen's Park -- at home

- **Goals a game:** Scores 0.9 and concedes 1.4 a game over its last 49 league matches; at home, 0.9 for and 1.2 against over 24.
- **When it scores:** Of 43 scored across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 6; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 4; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 12. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 12 of 43 (28%).
- **When it concedes:** Of 70 conceded across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 9; 16-30: 16; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 14.
- **The first goal:** Scored first in 12 of its 49 read -- then won 8, drew 4, lost 0; conceded first in 31 -- pulled back 3 wins and 5 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 14 points.
- **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 1 of its 49 read, winning 1 of them; trailed by two in 16, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 4.

### Partick Thistle -- away

- **Goals a game:** Scores 1.4 and concedes 0.9 a game over its last 49 league matches; away, 1.2 for and 1.2 against over 24.
- **When it scores:** Of 70 scored across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 18; 16-30: 13; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 6; 76-90+: 14. Its heaviest scoring spell is the first 15 minutes -- 18 of 70 (26%).
- **When it concedes:** Of 43 conceded across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 9; 76-90+: 7.
- **The first goal:** Scored first in 28 of its 49 read -- then won 19, drew 8, lost 1; conceded first in 14 -- pulled back 5 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 20 points.
- **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 13 of its 49 read, winning 12 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 11.


## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets

**Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 40% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 31%. On the record this leans a tight match.**

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Queen's Park's numbers over its games, Partick Thistle's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Queen's Park's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (29%). In Partick Thistle's own 24 away matches read, 8 (33%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 31% of games.

### Queen's Park -- at home

- **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 49 (39%); over 1.5 in 35 (71%); over 3.5 in 8 (16%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 24 (38%).
- **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 25 of its own 49 (51%). At home: 12 of its 24 (50%).
- **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 49 (20%); failed to score in 20 (41%).
- **Two goals clear:** Counted over Queen's Park's own 49 matches read: Queen's Park or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (35%). Queen's Park itself held the lead in 1, winning 1. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 24.

### Partick Thistle -- away

- **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 49 (41%); over 1.5 in 34 (69%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 24 (38%).
- **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 25 of its own 49 (51%). Away: 14 of its 24 (58%).
- **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 49 (43%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
- **Two goals clear:** Counted over Partick Thistle's own 49 matches read: Partick Thistle or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (37%). Partick Thistle itself held the lead in 13, winning 12. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 24.

## Your appraisal — and now the market

**The table makes Partick Thistle the bigger side: 2nd against 6th of 10 last season. Against the block the other keeps: Queen's Park takes 0.57 points a game, Partick Thistle 2.00 -- the block form is Partick Thistle's. -0.29 points a game is the venue form gap, in Partick Thistle's favour: Queen's Park takes 1.17 a game at home over the last two seasons, Partick Thistle 1.46 away. Queen's Park scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 16-30; Partick Thistle scores heaviest in 1-15 and concedes heaviest in 61-75. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 40% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 31%. On the record this leans a tight match.**

If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: Partick Thistle lands the first blow more often (28 of 49 to 12 of 49); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Partick Thistle's -- two goals clear in 13 of 49, against 1 of 49; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Partick Thistle's hands -- ahead without winning in 11 of 49; Queen's Park finds its goals latest of all -- 12 of its 43 after the 75th.

That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it.

The tissue is a plain goals model: Queen's Park 0.87 goals expected, Partick Thistle 1.29, from two seasons of scoring rates (24 home matches and 24 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks.

- **Match result:** Our tissue: Queen's Park 3.98 (25%), the draw 3.49 (29%), Partick Thistle 2.16 (46%). The market's averages: 6.40, 4.40 and 1.31. The widest gap is on Queen's Park: the market offers 6.40 against our 3.98. If our figures are right that is value; nothing proves they are.
- **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 2.74 (37%), under 2.5 1.58 (63%). The market's averages: over 2.5 1.60, under 2.5 2.30. The market is shorter than our number on over 2.5.
- **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 2.38 (42%), no 1.73 (58%). The market's averages: yes 1.83, no 1.91. The market is shorter than our number on yes.
- **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Queen's Park's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (29%). In Partick Thistle's own 24 away matches read, 8 (33%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 31% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read.

The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing.

## Half-time

The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/scottish-championship/2026-11-07/queen-s-park-v-partick-thistle/halftime/

Built 2026-11-05T10:04:19+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.
