# Montrose v East Fife — the Match Wizard Scottish League One, game week 14 — Saturday, 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Montrose: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season. East Fife: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **Montrose and East Fife finished near neighbours last season -- 8th and 9th of 10 -- so rank alone splits nothing here. Against the block the other keeps: Montrose takes 1.67 points a game, East Fife 1.00 -- the block form is Montrose's.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Montrose -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 3rd of 10 after 13 games, with 20 points. Last season it finished 8th of 10 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the bottom block (8th to 10th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 13 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the bottom block (8th to 10th). Against that block it has won 4, drew 3, lost 2 of 9 -- 15 points of 27. At home against them: won 1 of 4. Away against them: won 3 of 5. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 5, drew 2, lost 6 of 13 (1.31 a game); against the middle block won 6, drew 6, lost 10 of 22 (1.09 a game); against the bottom block won 4, drew 3, lost 2 of 9 (1.67 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 1, lost 3 of 5 (0.80 a game). ### East Fife -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 9th of 10 after 13 games, with 12 points. Last season it finished 9th of 10 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the bottom block (8th to 10th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 13 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the bottom block (8th to 10th). Against that block it has won 2, drew 3, lost 4 of 9 -- 9 points of 27. At home against them: won 1 of 5. Away against them: won 1 of 4. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 3, drew 4, lost 7 of 14 (0.93 a game); against the middle block won 6, drew 5, lost 12 of 23 (1.00 a game); against the bottom block won 2, drew 3, lost 4 of 9 (1.00 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 2, lost 1 of 3 (0.67 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+0.79 points a game is the venue form gap, in Montrose's favour: Montrose takes 1.50 a game at home over the last two seasons, East Fife 0.71 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Montrose -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 4, drew 0, lost 2 of 6, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Last season at home: won 7, drew 3, lost 8 of 18, scoring 24 and conceding 33 -- 1.33 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: drew with Hamilton Academical 1-1 away; beat Peterhead 3-0 at home; drew with East Kilbride 1-1 away; lost to Ross County 0-5 at home; lost to Airdrieonians 0-1 away. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 28 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Stewart Petrie. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### East Fife -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 0, drew 4, lost 2 of 6, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Last season away: won 3, drew 4, lost 11 of 18, scoring 13 and conceding 32 -- 0.72 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Queen of the South 2-0 at home; lost to Hamilton Academical 1-2 away; lost to Alloa Athletic 0-3 at home; drew with Cove Rangers 1-1 away; lost to East Kilbride 0-3 at home. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 24 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Dick Campbell. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Montrose scores heaviest in the 31-45+ spell and concedes heaviest in 61-75; East Fife scores heaviest in 46-60 and concedes heaviest in 31-45+. The shapes mesh: Montrose's strongest scoring spell is exactly where East Fife is softest.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Montrose scores most in the 31-45+ band (14 of 65); Montrose concedes most in the 61-75 band (20 of 87); East Fife scores most in the 46-60 band (10 of 41); East Fife concedes most in the 31-45+ band (16 of 75). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Montrose -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.3 and concedes 1.8 a game over its last 49 league matches; at home, 1.4 for and 1.9 against over 24. - **When it scores:** Of 65 scored across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 6; 31-45+: 14; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 10. - **When it concedes:** Of 87 conceded across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 14; 31-45+: 14; 46-60: 13; 61-75: 20; 76-90+: 18. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 22 of its 49 read -- then won 14, drew 8, lost 0; conceded first in 27 -- pulled back 2 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 11 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 12 of its 49 read, winning 11 of them; trailed by two in 16, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 9. ### East Fife -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 0.9 and concedes 1.5 a game over its last 49 league matches; away, 0.7 for and 1.6 against over 24. - **When it scores:** Of 41 scored across its own 48 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 10. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 10 of 41 (24%). (1 of its 49 matches lack usable goal times and are left out.) - **When it concedes:** Of 75 conceded across its own 48 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 16; 46-60: 14; 61-75: 13; 76-90+: 13. (1 of its 49 matches lack usable goal times and are left out.) - **The first goal:** Scored first in 14 of its 48 read -- then won 8, drew 4, lost 2; conceded first in 30 -- pulled back 2 wins and 6 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 12 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 3 of its 48 read, winning 3 of them; trailed by two in 16, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 7. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 55% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record this leans a goals match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Montrose's numbers over its games, East Fife's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Montrose's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 16 (67%). In East Fife's own 24 away matches read, 9 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games. ### Montrose -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 49 (61%); over 1.5 in 44 (90%); over 3.5 in 16 (33%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 24 (67%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 28 of its own 49 (57%). At home: 11 of its 24 (46%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 49 (16%); failed to score in 13 (27%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Montrose's own 49 matches read: Montrose or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 27 (55%). Montrose itself held the lead in 12, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 16 of 24. ### East Fife -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 49 (49%); over 1.5 in 37 (76%); over 3.5 in 8 (16%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 24 (46%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 24 of its own 49 (49%). Away: 12 of its 24 (50%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 49 (20%); failed to score in 19 (39%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over East Fife's own 48 matches read: East Fife or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (40%). East Fife itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 24. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **Montrose and East Fife finished near neighbours last season -- 8th and 9th of 10 -- so rank alone splits nothing here. Against the block the other keeps: Montrose takes 1.67 points a game, East Fife 1.00 -- the block form is Montrose's. +0.79 points a game is the venue form gap, in Montrose's favour: Montrose takes 1.50 a game at home over the last two seasons, East Fife 0.71 away. Montrose scores heaviest in the 31-45+ spell and concedes heaviest in 61-75; East Fife scores heaviest in 46-60 and concedes heaviest in 31-45+. The shapes mesh: Montrose's strongest scoring spell is exactly where East Fife is softest. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 55% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record this leans a goals match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: Montrose lands the first blow more often (22 of 49 to 14 of 48); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Montrose's -- two goals clear in 12 of 49, against 3 of 48; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Montrose's hands -- ahead without winning in 9 of 49. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Montrose 1.56 goals expected, East Fife 1.16, from two seasons of scoring rates (24 home matches and 24 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Montrose 2.15 (46%), the draw 3.98 (25%), East Fife 3.52 (28%). The market's averages: ?, ? and ?. Not every market price is recorded yet -- check nearer kick-off. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.95 (51%), under 2.5 2.05 (49%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.84 (54%), no 2.19 (46%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Montrose's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 16 (67%). In East Fife's own 24 away matches read, 9 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/scottish-league-one/2026-11-07/montrose-v-east-fife/halftime/ Built 2026-11-05T02:26:18+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.