# Annan Athletic v Kelty Hearts — the Match Wizard Scottish League Two, game week 13 — Saturday, 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Annan Athletic: 48 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season. Kelty Hearts: 48 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **Kelty Hearts is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Annan Athletic -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 10th of 10 after 12 games, with 9 points. Last season it finished 7th of 10 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (4th to 7th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 12 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side new to its division. Against that block it has won 0, drew 0, lost 1 of 1. Away against them: won 0 of 1. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 2, drew 2, lost 12 of 16 (0.50 a game); against the middle block won 8, drew 3, lost 5 of 16 (1.69 a game); against the bottom block won 3, drew 6, lost 6 of 15 (1.00 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 0, lost 1 of 1 (0.00 a game). ### Kelty Hearts -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 6th of 10 after 12 games, with 15 points. It was not in this division last season -- it came down from the Scottish League One, where it finished 10th of 10. - **Its block:** New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (4th to 7th). Against that block it has won 5, drew 3, lost 14 of 22 -- 18 points of 66. At home against them: won 2 of 11. Away against them: won 3 of 11. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 1, drew 5, lost 8 of 14 (0.57 a game); against the middle block won 5, drew 3, lost 14 of 22 (0.82 a game); against the bottom block won 5, drew 2, lost 5 of 12 (1.42 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+0.54 points a game is the venue form gap, in Annan Athletic's favour: Annan Athletic takes 1.42 a game at home over the last two seasons, Kelty Hearts 0.88 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Annan Athletic -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 2, drew 0, lost 4 of 6, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Last season at home: won 7, drew 7, lost 4 of 18, scoring 31 and conceding 31 -- 1.56 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Spartans 2-3 away; lost to Clyde 1-4 away; lost to Stranraer 1-6 at home; lost to Stirling Albion 0-1 at home; lost to Forfar Athletic 0-1 away. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 22 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Willie Gibson. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Kelty Hearts -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 1, drew 0, lost 5 of 6, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Last season away in the Scottish League One: won 5, drew 3, lost 10 of 18, scoring 21 and conceding 29 -- 1.00 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Elgin City 0-1 at home; beat Forfar Athletic 2-1 at home; lost to Stirling Albion 1-2 away; beat Spartans 2-0 away; lost to Edinburgh City 1-3 at home. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 11 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Michael Tidser. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Annan Athletic scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Kelty Hearts scores heaviest in 16-30 and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Annan Athletic's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Kelty Hearts is softest.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Annan Athletic scores most in the 76-90+ band (23 of 60); Annan Athletic concedes most in the 76-90+ band (20 of 82); Kelty Hearts scores most in the 16-30 band (11 of 48); Kelty Hearts concedes most in the 76-90+ band (18 of 84). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Annan Athletic -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.2 and concedes 1.7 a game over its last 48 league matches; at home, 1.6 for and 1.8 against over 24. - **When it scores:** Of 60 scored across its own 48 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 12; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 6; 76-90+: 23. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 23 of 60 (38%). - **When it concedes:** Of 82 conceded across its own 48 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 12; 31-45+: 15; 46-60: 13; 61-75: 15; 76-90+: 20. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 20 of 82 (24%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 19 of its 48 read -- then won 10, drew 7, lost 2; conceded first in 27 -- pulled back 3 wins and 2 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 11 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 10 of its 48 read, winning 7 of them; trailed by two in 15, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 9. ### Kelty Hearts -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.0 and concedes 1.8 a game over its last 48 league matches; away, 1.1 for and 1.8 against over 24. - **When it scores:** Of 48 scored across its own 48 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 11. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 11 of 48 (23%). - **When it concedes:** Of 84 conceded across its own 48 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 12; 16-30: 12; 31-45+: 15; 46-60: 15; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 18. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 18 of 84 (21%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 16 of its 48 read -- then won 10, drew 2, lost 4; conceded first in 30 -- pulled back 1 win and 6 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 9 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 8 of its 48 read, winning 6 of them; trailed by two in 17, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 7. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Annan Athletic's numbers over its games, Kelty Hearts's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Annan Athletic's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (50%). In Kelty Hearts's own 24 away matches read, 13 (54%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games. ### Annan Athletic -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 48 (54%); over 1.5 in 36 (75%); over 3.5 in 17 (35%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 24 (54%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 27 of its own 48 (56%). At home: 16 of its 24 (67%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 48 (21%); failed to score in 13 (27%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Annan Athletic's own 48 matches read: Annan Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (50%). Annan Athletic itself held the lead in 10, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 24. ### Kelty Hearts -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 48 (54%); over 1.5 in 40 (83%); over 3.5 in 13 (27%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 24 (58%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 27 of its own 48 (56%). Away: 14 of its 24 (58%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 48 (12%); failed to score in 17 (35%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Kelty Hearts's own 48 matches read: Kelty Hearts or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (52%). Kelty Hearts itself held the lead in 8, winning 6. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 24. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **Kelty Hearts is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season. +0.54 points a game is the venue form gap, in Annan Athletic's favour: Annan Athletic takes 1.42 a game at home over the last two seasons, Kelty Hearts 0.88 away. Annan Athletic scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Kelty Hearts scores heaviest in 16-30 and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Annan Athletic's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Kelty Hearts is softest. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: the first blow is even money on the record (19 of 48 and 16 of 48); a one-goal lead has not been safe in Annan Athletic's hands -- ahead without winning in 9 of 48; Annan Athletic finds its goals latest of all -- 23 of its 60 after the 75th, and Kelty Hearts concedes most in that same spell; the last quarter-hour is where this fixture's money is likeliest to move. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Annan Athletic 1.80 goals expected, Kelty Hearts 1.43, from two seasons of scoring rates (24 home matches and 24 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. Note: Kelty Hearts's figures include last season in the Scottish League One, where goals came against different company. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Annan Athletic 2.16 (46%), the draw 4.37 (23%), Kelty Hearts 3.25 (31%). The market's averages: ?, ? and ?. Not every market price is recorded yet -- check nearer kick-off. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.60 (63%), under 2.5 2.68 (37%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.57 (64%), no 2.74 (36%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Annan Athletic's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (50%). In Kelty Hearts's own 24 away matches read, 13 (54%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/scottish-league-two/2026-11-07/annan-athletic-v-kelty-hearts/halftime/ Built 2026-11-05T02:26:05+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.