# Rangers v Motherwell — the Match Wizard Scottish Premiership, game week 6 — Saturday, 5 September 2026, kick-off 15:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Rangers: 42 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Motherwell: 42 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Look and learn: it is early in the season, so nearly everything counted here was earned last season -- by squads and dugouts a summer window may have reshaped. Treat the first five weeks as pointers while the new shapes settle, not proof. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **Rangers and Motherwell finished near neighbours last season -- 3rd and 4th of 12 -- so rank alone splits nothing here. Against the block the other keeps: Rangers takes 1.08 points a game, Motherwell 0.92 -- nothing between them.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Rangers -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 6th of 12 after 4 games, with 7 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 3rd of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the top block (1st to 4th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 4 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the top block (1st to 4th). Against that block it has won 3, drew 4, lost 5 of 12 -- 13 points of 36. At home against them: won 2 of 6. Away against them: won 1 of 6. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 3, drew 4, lost 5 of 12 (1.08 a game); against the middle block won 8, drew 7, lost 2 of 17 (1.82 a game); against the bottom block won 11, drew 2, lost 0 of 13 (2.69 a game). ### Motherwell -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 4th of 12 after 4 games, with 8 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 4th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the top block (1st to 4th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 4 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the top block (1st to 4th). Against that block it has won 2, drew 5, lost 5 of 12 -- 11 points of 36. At home against them: won 1 of 6. Away against them: won 1 of 6. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 2, drew 5, lost 5 of 12 (0.92 a game); against the middle block won 7, drew 6, lost 4 of 17 (1.59 a game); against the bottom block won 9, drew 4, lost 0 of 13 (2.38 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+0.52 points a game is the venue form gap, in Rangers's favour: Rangers takes 1.90 a game at home over the last two seasons, Motherwell 1.38 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Rangers -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 0, drew 0, lost 1 of 1, scoring 1 and conceding 2. Last season at home: won 11, drew 5, lost 3 of 19, scoring 39 and conceding 21 -- 2.00 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Falkirk 2-1 away; beat Aberdeen 1-0 away; lost to Hibernian 1-2 at home; drew with Dundee United 1-1 away; beat Falkirk 5-2 away. The last of these is from last season. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 3 different managers took its 27 matches with one recorded (16, 7, 4 apiece), most recently Derek McInnes with 4. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Motherwell -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 1, drew 1, lost 0 of 2, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Last season away: won 6, drew 7, lost 6 of 19, scoring 27 and conceding 23 -- 1.32 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Dundee United 3-0 at home; drew with St. Mirren 3-3 away; drew with Falkirk 0-0 at home; beat Hibernian 2-1 away; beat Hibernian 1-0 away. The last of these is from last season. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 30 matches with one recorded (26, 4 apiece), most recently Alfred Johansson with 4. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Rangers scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 16-30; Motherwell scores heaviest in 16-30 and concedes heaviest in 61-75. The shapes mesh: Motherwell's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Rangers is softest.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Rangers scores most in the 76-90+ band (22 of 81); Rangers concedes most in the 16-30 band (9 of 47); Motherwell scores most in the 16-30 band (17 of 67); Motherwell concedes most in the 61-75 band (11 of 40). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Rangers -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.9 and concedes 1.1 a game over its last 42 league matches; at home, 2.0 for and 1.1 against over 20. - **When it scores:** Of 81 scored across its own 42 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 14; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 16; 61-75: 9; 76-90+: 22. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 22 of 81 (27%). - **When it concedes:** Of 47 conceded across its own 42 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 9. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 9 of 47 (19%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 26 of its 42 read -- then won 19, drew 5, lost 2; conceded first in 13 -- pulled back 3 wins and 5 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 15 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 15 of its 42 read, winning 14 of them; trailed by two in 6, rescuing 2 results; was ahead at some point without winning in 7. ### Motherwell -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.0 a game over its last 42 league matches; away, 1.5 for and 1.3 against over 21. - **When it scores:** Of 67 scored across its own 42 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 17; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 16. - **When it concedes:** Of 40 conceded across its own 42 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 11; 76-90+: 9. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 26 of its 42 read -- then won 17, drew 5, lost 4; conceded first in 10 -- pulled back 1 win and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 8 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 16 of its 42 read, winning 14 of them; trailed by two in 3, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 11. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 51% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 47%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Rangers's numbers over its games, Motherwell's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Rangers's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (55%). In Motherwell's own 21 away matches read, 8 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 47% of games. ### Rangers -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 42 (60%); over 1.5 in 34 (81%); over 3.5 in 14 (33%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 20 (65%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 28 of its own 42 (67%). At home: 13 of its 20 (65%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 42 (31%); failed to score in 4 (10%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Rangers's own 42 matches read: Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (48%). Rangers itself held the lead in 15, winning 14. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 20. ### Motherwell -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 42 (43%); over 1.5 in 32 (76%); over 3.5 in 12 (29%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 21 (52%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 20 of its own 42 (48%). Away: 13 of its 21 (62%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 42 (48%); failed to score in 8 (19%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Motherwell's own 42 matches read: Motherwell or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (45%). Motherwell itself held the lead in 16, winning 14. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 21. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **Rangers and Motherwell finished near neighbours last season -- 3rd and 4th of 12 -- so rank alone splits nothing here. Against the block the other keeps: Rangers takes 1.08 points a game, Motherwell 0.92 -- nothing between them. +0.52 points a game is the venue form gap, in Rangers's favour: Rangers takes 1.90 a game at home over the last two seasons, Motherwell 1.38 away. Rangers scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 16-30; Motherwell scores heaviest in 16-30 and concedes heaviest in 61-75. The shapes mesh: Motherwell's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Rangers is softest. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 51% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 47%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: the first blow is even money on the record (26 of 42 and 26 of 42); a one-goal lead has not been safe in Rangers's hands -- ahead without winning in 7 of 42; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Motherwell's hands -- ahead without winning in 11 of 42; Rangers finds its goals latest of all -- 22 of its 81 after the 75th. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Rangers 1.62 goals expected, Motherwell 1.41, from two seasons of scoring rates (20 home matches and 21 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Rangers 2.34 (43%), the draw 4.17 (24%), Motherwell 3.00 (33%). The market's averages: 1.45, 4.60 and 6.35. The widest gap is on Motherwell: the market offers 6.35 against our 3.00. If our figures are right that is value; nothing proves they are. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.71 (58%), under 2.5 2.40 (42%). The market's averages: over 2.5 1.61, under 2.5 2.30. Close to our view -- no argument either way. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.65 (61%), no 2.54 (39%). The market's averages: yes 1.80, no 2.05. Close to our view -- no argument either way. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Rangers's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (55%). In Motherwell's own 21 away matches read, 8 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 47% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/scottish-premiership/2026-09-05/rangers-v-motherwell/halftime/ Built 2026-09-05T05:39:26+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.