# St. Johnstone v Hibernian — the Match Wizard Scottish Premiership, game week 6 — Sunday, 6 September 2026, kick-off 15:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. St. Johnstone: 40 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship. Hibernian: 42 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Look and learn: it is early in the season, so nearly everything counted here was earned last season -- by squads and dugouts a summer window may have reshaped. Treat the first five weeks as pointers while the new shapes settle, not proof. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **St. Johnstone is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### St. Johnstone -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 8th of 12 after 4 games, with 4 points -- too few games yet to mean much. It was not in this division last season -- it came up from the Scottish Championship, where it finished 1st of 10. - **Its block:** New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (5th to 8th). Against that block it has won 9, drew 7, lost 1 of 17 -- 34 points of 51. At home against them: won 4 of 8. Away against them: won 5 of 9. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 4, drew 2, lost 3 of 9 (1.56 a game); against the middle block won 9, drew 7, lost 1 of 17 (2.00 a game); against the bottom block won 10, drew 3, lost 1 of 14 (2.36 a game). ### Hibernian -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 7th of 12 after 4 games, with 6 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 5th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (5th to 8th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 4 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side new to its division, and none of the matches we hold were against that block -- nothing to read. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 4, drew 4, lost 11 of 19 (0.84 a game); against the middle block won 6, drew 4, lost 1 of 11 (2.00 a game); against the bottom block won 7, drew 4, lost 1 of 12 (2.08 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+0.64 points a game is the venue form gap, in St. Johnstone's favour: St. Johnstone takes 2.21 a game at home over the last two seasons, Hibernian 1.57 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### St. Johnstone -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Last season at home in the Scottish Championship: won 11, drew 6, lost 1 of 18, scoring 37 and conceding 11 -- 2.17 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: drew with Dundee 1-1 away; lost to Hearts 1-2 away; lost to St. Mirren 0-1 away; beat Kilmarnock 4-3 at home; beat Ayr United 1-0 away in the Scottish Championship. The last of these is from last season. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 16 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Simo Valakari. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Hibernian -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 2, drew 0, lost 0 of 2, scoring 4 and conceding 2. Last season away: won 7, drew 6, lost 6 of 19, scoring 26 and conceding 25 -- 1.42 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Hearts 1-3 at home; beat Dundee 2-1 away; beat Rangers 2-1 away; lost to Motherwell 1-2 at home; lost to Motherwell 0-1 at home. The last of these is from last season. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 31 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by David Gray. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **St. Johnstone scores heaviest in the 16-30 spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; Hibernian scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 31-45+.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: St. Johnstone scores most in the 16-30 band (17 of 73); St. Johnstone concedes most in the 31-45+ band (8 of 32); Hibernian scores most in the 76-90+ band (16 of 64); Hibernian concedes most in the 31-45+ band (13 of 51). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### St. Johnstone -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.8 and concedes 0.8 a game over its last 40 league matches; at home, 2.2 for and 0.7 against over 19. - **When it scores:** Of 73 scored across its own 40 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 17; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 10; 76-90+: 17. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 17 of 73 (23%). - **When it concedes:** Of 32 conceded across its own 40 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 2; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 5. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 21 of its 40 read -- then won 19, drew 1, lost 1; conceded first in 13 -- pulled back 4 wins and 5 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 20 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 15 of its 40 read, winning 15 of them; trailed by two in 4, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 4. ### Hibernian -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.5 and concedes 1.2 a game over its last 42 league matches; away, 1.4 for and 1.3 against over 21. - **When it scores:** Of 64 scored across its own 42 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 10; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 11; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 16. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 16 of 64 (25%). - **When it concedes:** Of 51 conceded across its own 42 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 4; 61-75: 10; 76-90+: 13. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 13 of 51 (25%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 22 of its 42 read -- then won 17, drew 4, lost 1; conceded first in 16 -- pulled back 0 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 8 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 15 of its 42 read, winning 13 of them; trailed by two in 6, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 5. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 45%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- St. Johnstone's numbers over its games, Hibernian's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In St. Johnstone's own 19 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (42%). In Hibernian's own 21 away matches read, 10 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 45% of games. ### St. Johnstone -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 40 (48%); over 1.5 in 27 (68%); over 3.5 in 12 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 19 (53%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 18 of its own 40 (45%). At home: 8 of its 19 (42%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 40 (50%); failed to score in 8 (20%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over St. Johnstone's own 40 matches read: St. Johnstone or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (45%). St. Johnstone itself held the lead in 15, winning 15. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 19. ### Hibernian -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 42 (60%); over 1.5 in 33 (79%); over 3.5 in 12 (29%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 21 (62%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 24 of its own 42 (57%). Away: 13 of its 21 (62%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 42 (26%); failed to score in 11 (26%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Hibernian's own 42 matches read: Hibernian or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (50%). Hibernian itself held the lead in 15, winning 13. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 21. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **St. Johnstone is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season. +0.64 points a game is the venue form gap, in St. Johnstone's favour: St. Johnstone takes 2.21 a game at home over the last two seasons, Hibernian 1.57 away. St. Johnstone scores heaviest in the 16-30 spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; Hibernian scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 31-45+. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 45%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: the first blow is even money on the record (21 of 40 and 22 of 42); Hibernian finds its goals latest of all -- 16 of its 64 after the 75th. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: St. Johnstone 1.72 goals expected, Hibernian 0.98, from two seasons of scoring rates (19 home matches and 21 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. Note: St. Johnstone's figures include last season in the Scottish Championship, where goals came against different company. - **Match result:** Our tissue: St. Johnstone 1.82 (55%), the draw 4.20 (24%), Hibernian 4.69 (21%). The market's averages: 2.66, 3.40 and 2.45. The widest gap is on Hibernian: the market is shorter (2.45) than our 4.69 -- it rates that outcome more than we do. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.98 (51%), under 2.5 2.02 (49%). The market's averages: over 2.5 1.83, under 2.5 1.86. Close to our view -- no argument either way. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.95 (51%), no 2.05 (49%). The market's averages: yes 1.65, no 2.10. The market is shorter than our number on yes. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In St. Johnstone's own 19 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (42%). In Hibernian's own 21 away matches read, 10 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 45% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/scottish-premiership/2026-09-06/st-johnstone-v-hibernian/halftime/ Built 2026-09-05T05:40:25+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.