# Dundee United v Hearts — the Match Wizard Scottish Premiership, game week 12 — Saturday, 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Dundee United: 49 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season. Hearts: 49 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **The table makes Hearts the bigger side: 2nd against 7th of 12 last season. Against the block the other keeps: Dundee United takes 0.75 points a game, Hearts 2.56 -- the block form is Hearts's.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Dundee United -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 5th of 12 after 11 games, with 16 points. Last season it finished 7th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (5th to 8th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 11 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the top block (1st to 4th). Against that block it has won 2, drew 6, lost 8 of 16 -- 12 points of 48. At home against them: won 2 of 7. Away against them: won 0 of 9. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 2, drew 6, lost 8 of 16 (0.75 a game); against the middle block won 4, drew 5, lost 4 of 13 (1.31 a game); against the bottom block won 8, drew 7, lost 4 of 19 (1.63 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 1, lost 0 of 1 (1.00 a game). ### Hearts -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 3rd of 12 after 11 games, with 20 points. Last season it finished 2nd of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the top block (1st to 4th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 11 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (5th to 8th). Against that block it has won 15, drew 1, lost 2 of 18 -- 46 points of 54. At home against them: won 9 of 10. Away against them: won 6 of 8. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 7, drew 5, lost 3 of 15 (1.73 a game); against the middle block won 15, drew 1, lost 2 of 18 (2.56 a game); against the bottom block won 7, drew 4, lost 4 of 15 (1.67 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1 (3.00 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **-0.02 points a game is the venue form gap, in Hearts's favour: Dundee United takes 1.50 a game at home over the last two seasons, Hearts 1.52 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Dundee United -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 2, drew 2, lost 1 of 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Last season at home: won 7, drew 7, lost 5 of 19, scoring 24 and conceding 22 -- 1.47 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: drew with Celtic 2-2 away; beat Aberdeen 3-2 at home; drew with St. Johnstone 1-1 away; beat Hibernian 1-0 at home; beat St. Mirren 3-0 away. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 40 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Jim Goodwin. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Hearts -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 2, drew 1, lost 3 of 6, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Last season away: won 9, drew 4, lost 6 of 19, scoring 30 and conceding 23 -- 1.63 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: drew with Rangers 2-2 at home; beat Motherwell 2-0 away; lost to Celtic 1-7 away; beat St. Mirren 5-0 at home; drew with Kilmarnock 1-1 away. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 25 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Derek McInnes. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Dundee United scores heaviest in the 61-75 spell and concedes heaviest in 16-30; Hearts scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 16-30.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Dundee United scores most in the 61-75 band (15 of 65); Dundee United concedes most in the 16-30 band (19 of 76); Hearts scores most in the 76-90+ band (22 of 91); Hearts concedes most in the 16-30 band (11 of 51). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Dundee United -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.3 and concedes 1.6 a game over its last 49 league matches; at home, 1.2 for and 1.2 against over 24. - **When it scores:** Of 65 scored across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 9; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 14; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 15; 76-90+: 12. - **When it concedes:** Of 76 conceded across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 19; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 16; 61-75: 11; 76-90+: 14. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 20 of its 49 read -- then won 11, drew 9, lost 0; conceded first in 26 -- pulled back 3 wins and 7 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 19 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 10 of its 49 read, winning 8 of them; trailed by two in 13, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 13. ### Hearts -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.9 and concedes 1.0 a game over its last 49 league matches; away, 1.6 for and 1.4 against over 25. - **When it scores:** Of 91 scored across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 16; 31-45+: 16; 46-60: 17; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 22. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 22 of 91 (24%). - **When it concedes:** Of 51 conceded across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 3; 76-90+: 11. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 11 of 51 (22%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 30 of its 49 read -- then won 25, drew 2, lost 3; conceded first in 18 -- pulled back 5 wins and 7 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 25 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 18 of its 49 read, winning 18 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 7. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 55% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 39%. On the record this leans a goals match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Dundee United's numbers over its games, Hearts's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Dundee United's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (33%). In Hearts's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 39% of games. ### Dundee United -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 49 (51%); over 1.5 in 44 (90%); over 3.5 in 17 (35%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 24 (42%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 26 of its own 49 (53%). At home: 12 of its 24 (50%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 49 (20%); failed to score in 16 (33%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Dundee United's own 49 matches read: Dundee United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (47%). Dundee United itself held the lead in 10, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 24. ### Hearts -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 49 (59%); over 1.5 in 38 (78%); over 3.5 in 16 (33%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 25 (60%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 26 of its own 49 (53%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 49 (41%); failed to score in 4 (8%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Hearts's own 49 matches read: Hearts or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (47%). Hearts itself held the lead in 18, winning 18. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **The table makes Hearts the bigger side: 2nd against 7th of 12 last season. Against the block the other keeps: Dundee United takes 0.75 points a game, Hearts 2.56 -- the block form is Hearts's. -0.02 points a game is the venue form gap, in Hearts's favour: Dundee United takes 1.50 a game at home over the last two seasons, Hearts 1.52 away. Dundee United scores heaviest in the 61-75 spell and concedes heaviest in 16-30; Hearts scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 16-30. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 55% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 39%. On the record this leans a goals match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: Hearts lands the first blow more often (30 of 49 to 20 of 49); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Hearts's -- two goals clear in 18 of 49, against 10 of 49; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Dundee United's hands -- ahead without winning in 13 of 49; Hearts finds its goals latest of all -- 22 of its 91 after the 75th. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Dundee United 1.22 goals expected, Hearts 1.46, from two seasons of scoring rates (24 home matches and 25 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Dundee United 3.17 (32%), the draw 3.89 (26%), Hearts 2.34 (43%). The market's averages: 3.01, 3.55 and 2.16. All three outcomes sit close to our numbers -- no argument either way. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.99 (50%), under 2.5 2.01 (50%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.85 (54%), no 2.18 (46%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Dundee United's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (33%). In Hearts's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 39% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/scottish-premiership/2026-10-31/dundee-united-v-hearts/halftime/ Built 2026-10-29T02:23:26+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.