# St. Johnstone v Dundee — the Match Wizard Scottish Premiership, game week 13 — Saturday, 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. St. Johnstone: 48 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship. Dundee: 49 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **St. Johnstone is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### St. Johnstone -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 7th of 12 after 12 games, with 14 points. It was not in this division last season -- it came up from the Scottish Championship, where it finished 1st of 10. - **Its block:** New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (5th to 8th). Against that block it has won 10, drew 9, lost 1 of 20 -- 39 points of 60. At home against them: won 5 of 11. Away against them: won 5 of 9. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 4, drew 3, lost 5 of 12 (1.25 a game); against the middle block won 10, drew 9, lost 1 of 20 (1.95 a game); against the bottom block won 11, drew 4, lost 1 of 16 (2.31 a game). ### Dundee -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 5th of 12 after 11 games, with 17 points. Last season it finished 8th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (5th to 8th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 11 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side new to its division. Against that block it has won 0, drew 1, lost 0 of 1. At home against them: won 0 of 1. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 3, drew 3, lost 10 of 16 (0.75 a game); against the middle block won 4, drew 2, lost 7 of 13 (1.08 a game); against the bottom block won 9, drew 5, lost 5 of 19 (1.68 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 1, lost 0 of 1 (1.00 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+1.29 points a game is the venue form gap, in St. Johnstone's favour: St. Johnstone takes 2.00 a game at home over the last two seasons, Dundee 0.71 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### St. Johnstone -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 2, drew 3, lost 1 of 6, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Last season at home in the Scottish Championship: won 11, drew 6, lost 1 of 18, scoring 37 and conceding 11 -- 2.17 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: drew with Kilmarnock 2-2 away; drew with Motherwell 2-2 at home; lost to Rangers 0-4 away; drew with Dundee United 1-1 at home; beat Aberdeen 1-0 away. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 24 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Simo Valakari. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Dundee -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 2, drew 0, lost 3 of 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Last season away: won 2, drew 5, lost 12 of 19, scoring 11 and conceding 33 -- 0.58 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Kilmarnock 3-1 at home; lost to St. Mirren 1-2 away; drew with Rangers 2-2 at home; beat Falkirk 2-1 away; beat Motherwell 2-1 at home. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 37 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Steven Pressley. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **St. Johnstone scores heaviest in the 16-30 spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; Dundee scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: St. Johnstone scores most in the 16-30 band (20 of 82); St. Johnstone concedes most in the 31-45+ band (10 of 44); Dundee scores most in the 76-90+ band (16 of 59); Dundee concedes most in the 76-90+ band (21 of 74). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### St. Johnstone -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.7 and concedes 0.9 a game over its last 48 league matches; at home, 2.0 for and 0.8 against over 24. - **When it scores:** Of 82 scored across its own 48 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 20; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 11; 76-90+: 19. - **When it concedes:** Of 44 conceded across its own 48 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 4; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 6; 76-90+: 7. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 25 of its 48 read -- then won 21, drew 3, lost 1; conceded first in 17 -- pulled back 4 wins and 7 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 23 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 15 of its 48 read, winning 15 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 6. ### Dundee -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.2 and concedes 1.5 a game over its last 49 league matches; away, 0.7 for and 1.6 against over 24. - **When it scores:** Of 59 scored across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 16. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 16 of 59 (27%). - **When it concedes:** Of 74 conceded across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 12; 31-45+: 12; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 10; 76-90+: 21. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 21 of 74 (28%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 19 of its 49 read -- then won 12, drew 5, lost 2; conceded first in 28 -- pulled back 4 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 20 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 10 of its 49 read, winning 8 of them; trailed by two in 13, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 8. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 50%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 35%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- St. Johnstone's numbers over its games, Dundee's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In St. Johnstone's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (33%). In Dundee's own 24 away matches read, 9 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 35% of games. ### St. Johnstone -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 48 (48%); over 1.5 in 33 (69%); over 3.5 in 15 (31%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 24 (50%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 23 of its own 48 (48%). At home: 12 of its 24 (50%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 48 (44%); failed to score in 10 (21%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over St. Johnstone's own 48 matches read: St. Johnstone or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (40%). St. Johnstone itself held the lead in 15, winning 15. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 24. ### Dundee -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 49 (59%); over 1.5 in 37 (76%); over 3.5 in 15 (31%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 24 (50%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 26 of its own 49 (53%). Away: 9 of its 24 (38%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 49 (18%); failed to score in 16 (33%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Dundee's own 49 matches read: Dundee or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (47%). Dundee itself held the lead in 10, winning 8. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 24. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **St. Johnstone is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season. +1.29 points a game is the venue form gap, in St. Johnstone's favour: St. Johnstone takes 2.00 a game at home over the last two seasons, Dundee 0.71 away. St. Johnstone scores heaviest in the 16-30 spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; Dundee scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 50%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 35%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: St. Johnstone lands the first blow more often (25 of 48 to 19 of 49); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often St. Johnstone's -- two goals clear in 15 of 48, against 10 of 49; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Dundee's hands -- ahead without winning in 8 of 49; Dundee finds its goals latest of all -- 16 of its 59 after the 75th. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: St. Johnstone 1.92 goals expected, Dundee 0.61, from two seasons of scoring rates (24 home matches and 24 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. Note: St. Johnstone's figures include last season in the Scottish Championship, where goals came against different company. - **Match result:** Our tissue: St. Johnstone 1.46 (69%), the draw 4.90 (20%), Dundee 9.12 (11%). The market's averages: 2.23, 3.61 and 2.74. The widest gap is on Dundee: the market is shorter (2.74) than our 9.12 -- it rates that outcome more than we do. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 2.16 (46%), under 2.5 1.87 (54%). The market's averages: over 2.5 1.73, under 2.5 2.10. The market is shorter than our number on over 2.5. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 2.56 (39%), no 1.64 (61%). The market's averages: yes 1.58, no 2.23. The market is shorter than our number on yes. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In St. Johnstone's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (33%). In Dundee's own 24 away matches read, 9 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 35% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/scottish-premiership/2026-11-07/st-johnstone-v-dundee/halftime/ Built 2026-11-05T10:04:38+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.