# Ipswich Town W v Nottingham Forest Ladies — the Match Wizard Women's Championship, game week 1 — Sunday, 6 September 2026, kick-off 14:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Ipswich Town W: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season. Nottingham Forest Ladies: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season. Look and learn: it is early in the season, so nearly everything counted here was earned last season -- by squads and dugouts a summer window may have reshaped. Treat the first five weeks as pointers while the new shapes settle, not proof. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **Ipswich Town W and Nottingham Forest Ladies finished near neighbours last season -- 9th and 7th of 12 -- so rank alone splits nothing here. Against the block the other keeps: Ipswich Town W takes 0.50 points a game, Nottingham Forest Ladies 2.38 -- the block form is Nottingham Forest Ladies's.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Ipswich Town W -- at home - **Where it stands:** Has not played a league game yet this season, so the current table says nothing about it. Last season it finished 9th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the bottom block (9th to 12th). Blocks are drawn from last season because its season has not started yet. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (5th to 8th). Against that block it has won 1, drew 1, lost 6 of 8 -- 4 points of 24. At home against them: won 1 of 4. Away against them: won 0 of 4. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 1, drew 3, lost 4 of 8 (0.75 a game); against the middle block won 1, drew 1, lost 6 of 8 (0.50 a game); against the bottom block won 4, drew 1, lost 1 of 6 (2.17 a game). ### Nottingham Forest Ladies -- away - **Where it stands:** Has not played a league game yet this season, so the current table says nothing about it. Last season it finished 7th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (5th to 8th). Blocks are drawn from last season because its season has not started yet. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the bottom block (9th to 12th). Against that block it has won 6, drew 1, lost 1 of 8 -- 19 points of 24. At home against them: won 4 of 4. Away against them: won 2 of 4. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 1, drew 0, lost 7 of 8 (0.38 a game); against the middle block won 2, drew 2, lost 2 of 6 (1.33 a game); against the bottom block won 6, drew 1, lost 1 of 8 (2.38 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **-0.09 points a game is the venue form gap, in Nottingham Forest Ladies's favour: Ipswich Town W takes 1.27 a game at home over the last two seasons, Nottingham Forest Ladies 1.36 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Ipswich Town W -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** No home game yet this season. Last season at home: won 4, drew 2, lost 5 of 11, scoring 16 and conceding 20 -- 1.27 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Sunderland Women 2-1 at home; beat Birmingham City Women 3-0 away; beat Sheffield United Ladies 4-1 at home; lost to Crystal Palace Ladies 0-1 away; lost to Southampton W 1-2 at home. The last 5 of these are from last season. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 7 matches with one recorded (4, 3 apiece), most recently David Wright with 4. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Nottingham Forest Ladies -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** No away game yet this season. Last season away: won 4, drew 3, lost 4 of 11, scoring 11 and conceding 16 -- 1.36 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Southampton W 0-3 at home; beat Portsmouth Ladies 1-0 away; drew with Newcastle United W 1-1 away; beat Durham Women 2-1 at home; beat Ipswich Town W 2-0 at home. The last 5 of these are from last season. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 7 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Carly Davies. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Ipswich Town W scores heaviest in the 1-15 spell and concedes heaviest in 46-60; Nottingham Forest Ladies scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 16-30.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Ipswich Town W scores most in the 1-15 band (6 of 26); Ipswich Town W concedes most in the 46-60 band (10 of 42); Nottingham Forest Ladies scores most in the 76-90+ band (11 of 27); Nottingham Forest Ladies concedes most in the 16-30 band (9 of 35). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Ipswich Town W -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.2 and concedes 1.9 a game over its last 22 league matches; at home, 1.5 for and 1.8 against over 11. - **When it scores:** Of 26 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 4; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 3; 76-90+: 3. Its heaviest scoring spell is the first 15 minutes -- 6 of 26 (23%). - **When it concedes:** Of 42 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 4; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 8. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 11 of its 22 read -- then won 6, drew 3, lost 2; conceded first in 10 -- pulled back 0 wins and 1 draw from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 4 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 4 of its 22 read, winning 4 of them; trailed by two in 6, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 5. ### Nottingham Forest Ladies -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6 a game over its last 22 league matches; away, 1.0 for and 1.5 against over 11. - **When it scores:** Of 27 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 1; 16-30: 6; 31-45+: 4; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 0; 76-90+: 11. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 11 of 27 (41%). - **When it concedes:** Of 35 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 4; 46-60: 2; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 7. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 9 of its 22 read -- then won 7, drew 1, lost 1; conceded first in 12 -- pulled back 2 wins and 1 draw from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 10 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 4 of its 22 read, winning 4 of them; trailed by two in 8, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 2. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 61% of their games, both teams scoring in 59%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 27%. On the record this leans a goals match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Ipswich Town W's numbers over its games, Nottingham Forest Ladies's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Ipswich Town W's own 11 home matches read, one appeared in 4 (36%). In Nottingham Forest Ladies's own 11 away matches read, 2 (18%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 27% of games. ### Ipswich Town W -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 14 of its own 22 (64%); over 1.5 in 19 (86%); over 3.5 in 7 (32%). At home: over 2.5 in 8 of its 11 (73%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 14 of its own 22 (64%). At home: 9 of its 11 (82%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 2 of its own 22 (9%); failed to score in 7 (32%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Ipswich Town W's own 22 matches read: Ipswich Town W or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 10 (45%). Ipswich Town W itself held the lead in 4, winning 4. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 4 of 11. ### Nottingham Forest Ladies -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 13 of its own 22 (59%); over 1.5 in 17 (77%); over 3.5 in 5 (23%). Away: over 2.5 in 5 of its 11 (45%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 12 of its own 22 (55%). Away: 6 of its 11 (55%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 5 of its own 22 (23%); failed to score in 6 (27%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Nottingham Forest Ladies's own 22 matches read: Nottingham Forest Ladies or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 12 (55%). Nottingham Forest Ladies itself held the lead in 4, winning 4. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 2 of 11. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **Ipswich Town W and Nottingham Forest Ladies finished near neighbours last season -- 9th and 7th of 12 -- so rank alone splits nothing here. Against the block the other keeps: Ipswich Town W takes 0.50 points a game, Nottingham Forest Ladies 2.38 -- the block form is Nottingham Forest Ladies's. -0.09 points a game is the venue form gap, in Nottingham Forest Ladies's favour: Ipswich Town W takes 1.27 a game at home over the last two seasons, Nottingham Forest Ladies 1.36 away. Ipswich Town W scores heaviest in the 1-15 spell and concedes heaviest in 46-60; Nottingham Forest Ladies scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 16-30. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 61% of their games, both teams scoring in 59%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 27%. On the record this leans a goals match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: Ipswich Town W lands the first blow more often (11 of 22 to 9 of 22); a one-goal lead has not been safe in Ipswich Town W's hands -- ahead without winning in 5 of 22; Nottingham Forest Ladies finds its goals latest of all -- 11 of its 27 after the 75th. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Ipswich Town W 1.41 goals expected, Nottingham Forest Ladies 1.37, from two seasons of scoring rates (11 home matches and 11 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Ipswich Town W 2.61 (38%), the draw 3.94 (25%), Nottingham Forest Ladies 2.76 (36%). The market's averages: ?, ? and ?. Not every market price is recorded yet -- check nearer kick-off. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.90 (53%), under 2.5 2.11 (47%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.77 (56%), no 2.29 (44%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Ipswich Town W's own 11 home matches read, one appeared in 4 (36%). In Nottingham Forest Ladies's own 11 away matches read, 2 (18%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 27% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/womens-championship/2026-09-06/ipswich-town-w-v-nottingham-forest-ladies/halftime/ Built 2026-09-03T23:09:33+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.