# Sunderland Women v Bristol City Women — the Match Wizard Women's Championship, game week 1 — Sunday, 6 September 2026, kick-off 14:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Sunderland Women: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season. Bristol City Women: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season. Look and learn: it is early in the season, so nearly everything counted here was earned last season -- by squads and dugouts a summer window may have reshaped. Treat the first five weeks as pointers while the new shapes settle, not proof. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **The table makes Bristol City Women the bigger side: 4th against 8th of 12 last season. Against the block the other keeps: Sunderland Women takes 0.25 points a game, Bristol City Women 2.00 -- the block form is Bristol City Women's.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Sunderland Women -- at home - **Where it stands:** Has not played a league game yet this season, so the current table says nothing about it. Last season it finished 8th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (5th to 8th). Blocks are drawn from last season because its season has not started yet. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the top block (1st to 4th). Against that block it has won 0, drew 2, lost 6 of 8 -- 2 points of 24. At home against them: won 0 of 4. Away against them: won 0 of 4. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 0, drew 2, lost 6 of 8 (0.25 a game); against the middle block won 1, drew 3, lost 2 of 6 (1.00 a game); against the bottom block won 5, drew 1, lost 2 of 8 (2.00 a game). ### Bristol City Women -- away - **Where it stands:** Has not played a league game yet this season, so the current table says nothing about it. Last season it finished 4th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the top block (1st to 4th). Blocks are drawn from last season because its season has not started yet. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (5th to 8th). Against that block it has won 5, drew 1, lost 2 of 8 -- 16 points of 24. At home against them: won 2 of 4. Away against them: won 3 of 4. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 1, drew 0, lost 5 of 6 (0.50 a game); against the middle block won 5, drew 1, lost 2 of 8 (2.00 a game); against the bottom block won 5, drew 3, lost 0 of 8 (2.25 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **-0.27 points a game is the venue form gap, in Bristol City Women's favour: Sunderland Women takes 1.18 a game at home over the last two seasons, Bristol City Women 1.45 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Sunderland Women -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** No home game yet this season. Last season at home: won 3, drew 4, lost 4 of 11, scoring 15 and conceding 18 -- 1.18 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Ipswich Town W 1-2 away; lost to Crystal Palace Ladies 1-2 at home; lost to Birmingham City Women 0-1 away; drew with Newcastle United W 1-1 at home; beat Portsmouth Ladies 1-0 away. The last 5 of these are from last season. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 1 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Melanie Copeland. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Bristol City Women -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** No away game yet this season. Last season away: won 4, drew 4, lost 3 of 11, scoring 22 and conceding 20 -- 1.45 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Sheffield United Ladies 4-0 away; beat Newcastle United W 2-1 at home; drew with Durham Women 2-2 away; lost to Birmingham City Women 0-1 at home; beat Charlton Athletic Ladies 2-1 at home. The last 5 of these are from last season. - **The dugout:** Our feed records no manager against any of its banked matches, so the dugout cannot be read. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Sunderland Women scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Bristol City Women scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Sunderland Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Bristol City Women is softest.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Sunderland Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (8 of 28); Sunderland Women concedes most in the 76-90+ band (13 of 35); Bristol City Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (12 of 47); Bristol City Women concedes most in the 76-90+ band (7 of 31). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Sunderland Women -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.3 and concedes 1.6 a game over its last 22 league matches; at home, 1.4 for and 1.6 against over 11. - **When it scores:** Of 28 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 2; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 4; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 8. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 8 of 28 (29%). - **When it concedes:** Of 35 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 0; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 13. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 13 of 35 (37%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 10 of its 22 read -- then won 4, drew 5, lost 1; conceded first in 12 -- pulled back 2 wins and 1 draw from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 7 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 3 of its 22 read, winning 3 of them; trailed by two in 6, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 7. ### Bristol City Women -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 2.1 and concedes 1.4 a game over its last 22 league matches; away, 2.0 for and 1.8 against over 11. - **When it scores:** Of 47 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 3; 76-90+: 12. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 12 of 47 (26%). - **When it concedes:** Of 31 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 7. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 7 of 31 (23%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 13 of its 22 read -- then won 10, drew 1, lost 2; conceded first in 9 -- pulled back 1 win and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 7 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 9 of its 22 read, winning 9 of them; trailed by two in 3, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 5. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 64% of their games, both teams scoring in 64%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 41%. On the record this leans a goals match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Sunderland Women's numbers over its games, Bristol City Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Sunderland Women's own 11 home matches read, one appeared in 4 (36%). In Bristol City Women's own 11 away matches read, 5 (45%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 41% of games. ### Sunderland Women -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 12 of its own 22 (55%); over 1.5 in 18 (82%); over 3.5 in 7 (32%). At home: over 2.5 in 6 of its 11 (55%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 15 of its own 22 (68%). At home: 9 of its 11 (82%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 3 of its own 22 (14%); failed to score in 4 (18%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Sunderland Women's own 22 matches read: Sunderland Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 9 (41%). Sunderland Women itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 4 of 11. ### Bristol City Women -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 22 (73%); over 1.5 in 20 (91%); over 3.5 in 10 (45%). Away: over 2.5 in 8 of its 11 (73%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 13 of its own 22 (59%). Away: 8 of its 11 (73%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 22 (27%); failed to score in 3 (14%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Bristol City Women's own 22 matches read: Bristol City Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 12 (55%). Bristol City Women itself held the lead in 9, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 5 of 11. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **The table makes Bristol City Women the bigger side: 4th against 8th of 12 last season. Against the block the other keeps: Sunderland Women takes 0.25 points a game, Bristol City Women 2.00 -- the block form is Bristol City Women's. -0.27 points a game is the venue form gap, in Bristol City Women's favour: Sunderland Women takes 1.18 a game at home over the last two seasons, Bristol City Women 1.45 away. Sunderland Women scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Bristol City Women scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Sunderland Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Bristol City Women is softest. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 64% of their games, both teams scoring in 64%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 41%. On the record this leans a goals match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: Bristol City Women lands the first blow more often (13 of 22 to 10 of 22); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Bristol City Women's -- two goals clear in 9 of 22, against 3 of 22; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Sunderland Women's hands -- ahead without winning in 7 of 22; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Bristol City Women's hands -- ahead without winning in 5 of 22; Sunderland Women finds its goals latest of all -- 8 of its 28 after the 75th, and Bristol City Women concedes most in that same spell; Bristol City Women finds its goals latest of all -- 12 of its 47 after the 75th, and Sunderland Women concedes most in that same spell; the last quarter-hour is where this fixture's money is likeliest to move. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Sunderland Women 1.57 goals expected, Bristol City Women 2.00, from two seasons of scoring rates (11 home matches and 11 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Sunderland Women 3.27 (31%), the draw 4.63 (22%), Bristol City Women 2.09 (48%). The market's averages: ?, ? and ?. Not every market price is recorded yet -- check nearer kick-off. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.45 (69%), under 2.5 3.24 (31%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.46 (68%), no 3.17 (32%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Sunderland Women's own 11 home matches read, one appeared in 4 (36%). In Bristol City Women's own 11 away matches read, 5 (45%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 41% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/womens-championship/2026-09-06/sunderland-women-v-bristol-city-women/halftime/ Built 2026-09-03T23:09:36+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.