# Wolverhampton Wanderers W v Burnley W — the Match Wizard Women's Championship, game week 3 — Friday, 18 September 2026, kick-off 19:30 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Wolverhampton Wanderers W: 2 league matches in the bank. Burnley W: 2 league matches in the bank. Look and learn: it is early in the season, so nearly everything counted here was earned last season -- by squads and dugouts a summer window may have reshaped. Treat the first five weeks as pointers while the new shapes settle, not proof. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **Wolverhampton Wanderers W is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Wolverhampton Wanderers W -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 5th of 12 after 2 games, with 3 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it played outside the leagues we cover, so we hold no standing for it. - **Its block:** New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side new to its division, and none of the matches we hold were against that block -- nothing to read. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the middle block won 0, drew 0, lost 1 of 1 (0.00 a game); against the bottom block won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1 (3.00 a game). ### Burnley W -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 9th of 12 after 2 games, with 1 point -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it played outside the leagues we cover, so we hold no standing for it. - **Its block:** New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side new to its division. Against that block it has won 0, drew 1, lost 0 of 1. Away against them: won 0 of 1. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the middle block won 0, drew 0, lost 1 of 1 (0.00 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 1, lost 0 of 1 (1.00 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+2.00 points a game is the venue form gap, in Wolverhampton Wanderers W's favour: Wolverhampton Wanderers W takes 3.00 a game at home over the last two seasons, Burnley W 1.00 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Wolverhampton Wanderers W -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1, scoring 3 and conceding 1. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Sheffield United Ladies 3-1 at home; lost to Newcastle United W 0-2 away. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 2 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Dan McNamara. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Burnley W -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 0, drew 1, lost 0 of 1, scoring 0 and conceding 0. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Sunderland Women 1-2 at home; drew with Watford LFC 0-0 away. - **The dugout:** Our feed records no manager against any of its banked matches, so the dugout cannot be read. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Wolverhampton Wanderers W scores heaviest in the 46-60 spell and concedes heaviest in 1-15; Burnley W scores heaviest in 31-45+ and concedes heaviest in 16-30.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Wolverhampton Wanderers W scores most in the 46-60 band (1 of 3); Wolverhampton Wanderers W concedes most in the 1-15 band (1 of 3); Burnley W scores most in the 31-45+ band (1 of 1); Burnley W concedes most in the 16-30 band (1 of 2). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Wolverhampton Wanderers W -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.5 and concedes 1.5 a game over its last 2 league matches; at home, 3.0 for and 1.0 against over 1. - **When it scores:** Of 3 scored across its own 2 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 0; 16-30: 0; 31-45+: 0; 46-60: 1; 61-75: 1; 76-90+: 1. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 1 of 3 (33%). - **When it concedes:** Of 3 conceded across its own 2 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 1; 16-30: 1; 31-45+: 0; 46-60: 0; 61-75: 1; 76-90+: 0. Its heaviest conceding spell is the first 15 minutes -- 1 of 3 (33%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 1 of its 2 read -- then won 1, drew 0, lost 0; conceded first in 1 -- pulled back 0 wins and 0 draws from them. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 1 of its 2 read, winning 1 of them; trailed by two in 1, rescuing nothing. ### Burnley W -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 0.5 and concedes 1.0 a game over its last 2 league matches; away, 0.0 for and 0.0 against over 1. - **When it scores:** Of 1 scored across its own 2 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 0; 16-30: 0; 31-45+: 1; 46-60: 0; 61-75: 0; 76-90+: 0. - **When it concedes:** Of 2 conceded across its own 2 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 0; 16-30: 1; 31-45+: 0; 46-60: 0; 61-75: 0; 76-90+: 1. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 1 of 2 (50%). - **The first goal:** Conceded first in 1 -- pulled back 0 wins and 0 draws from them. - **Two-goal swings:** Never led by two goals in its 2 read. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 50% of their games, both teams scoring in 50%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Wolverhampton Wanderers W's numbers over its games, Burnley W's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Wolverhampton Wanderers W's own 1 home matches read, one appeared in 1 (100%). In Burnley W's own 1 away matches read, 0 (0%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games. ### Wolverhampton Wanderers W -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 1 of its own 2 (50%); over 1.5 in 2 (100%); over 3.5 in 1 (50%). At home: over 2.5 in 1 of its 1 (100%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 1 of its own 2 (50%). At home: 1 of its 1 (100%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 0 of its own 2 (0%); failed to score in 1 (50%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Wolverhampton Wanderers W's own 2 matches read: Wolverhampton Wanderers W or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 2 (100%). Wolverhampton Wanderers W itself held the lead in 1, winning 1. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 1 of 1. ### Burnley W -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 1 of its own 2 (50%); over 1.5 in 1 (50%); over 3.5 in 0 (0%). Away: over 2.5 in 0 of its 1 (0%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 1 of its own 2 (50%). Away: 0 of its 1 (0%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 1 of its own 2 (50%); failed to score in 1 (50%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Burnley W's own 2 matches read: Burnley W or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 0 (0%). Burnley W itself held the lead in 0. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 0 of 1. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **Wolverhampton Wanderers W is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season. +2.00 points a game is the venue form gap, in Wolverhampton Wanderers W's favour: Wolverhampton Wanderers W takes 3.00 a game at home over the last two seasons, Burnley W 1.00 away. Wolverhampton Wanderers W scores heaviest in the 46-60 spell and concedes heaviest in 1-15; Burnley W scores heaviest in 31-45+ and concedes heaviest in 16-30. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 50% of their games, both teams scoring in 50%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: Wolverhampton Wanderers W lands the first blow more often (1 of 2 to 0 of 2); Wolverhampton Wanderers W is at its softest in the opening quarter-hour (1 of its 3 conceded before the 16th); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Wolverhampton Wanderers W's -- two goals clear in 1 of 2, against 0 of 2. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Wolverhampton Wanderers W 1.56 goals expected, Burnley W 1.14, from two seasons of scoring rates (1 home matches and 1 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Wolverhampton Wanderers W 2.12 (47%), the draw 3.97 (25%), Burnley W 3.61 (28%). The market's averages: ?, ? and ?. Not every market price is recorded yet -- check nearer kick-off. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.98 (50%), under 2.5 2.02 (50%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.87 (54%), no 2.15 (46%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Wolverhampton Wanderers W's own 1 home matches read, one appeared in 1 (100%). In Burnley W's own 1 away matches read, 0 (0%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/womens-championship/2026-09-18/wolverhampton-wanderers-w-v-burnley-w/halftime/ Built 2026-09-15T23:01:38+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.