# Charlton Athletic Ladies v Liverpool Women — the Match Wizard Women's Super League, game week 1 — Sunday, 6 September 2026, kick-off 14:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Charlton Athletic Ladies: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season in the Women's Championship. Liverpool Women: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season. Look and learn: it is early in the season, so nearly everything counted here was earned last season -- by squads and dugouts a summer window may have reshaped. Treat the first five weeks as pointers while the new shapes settle, not proof. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **Charlton Athletic Ladies is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Charlton Athletic Ladies -- at home - **Where it stands:** Has not played a league game yet this season, so the current table says nothing about it. It was not in this division last season -- it came up from the Women's Championship, where it finished 3rd of 12. - **Its block:** New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the bottom block (9th to 12th). Against that block it has won 2, drew 5, lost 1 of 8 -- 11 points of 24. At home against them: won 1 of 4. Away against them: won 1 of 4. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 3, drew 0, lost 3 of 6 (1.50 a game); against the middle block won 7, drew 1, lost 0 of 8 (2.75 a game); against the bottom block won 2, drew 5, lost 1 of 8 (1.38 a game). ### Liverpool Women -- away - **Where it stands:** Has not played a league game yet this season, so the current table says nothing about it. Last season it finished 11th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the bottom block (9th to 12th). Blocks are drawn from last season because its season has not started yet. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side new to its division, and none of the matches we hold were against that block -- nothing to read. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 0, drew 1, lost 7 of 8 (0.12 a game); against the middle block won 2, drew 3, lost 3 of 8 (1.12 a game); against the bottom block won 2, drew 1, lost 3 of 6 (1.17 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+1.64 points a game is the venue form gap, in Charlton Athletic Ladies's favour: Charlton Athletic Ladies takes 2.09 a game at home over the last two seasons, Liverpool Women 0.45 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Charlton Athletic Ladies -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** No home game yet this season. Last season at home in the Women's Championship: won 7, drew 2, lost 2 of 11, scoring 15 and conceding 10 -- 2.09 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Birmingham City Women 0-2 at home in the Women's Championship; drew with Southampton W 2-2 away in the Women's Championship; lost to Crystal Palace Ladies 2-3 away in the Women's Championship; lost to Bristol City Women 1-2 away in the Women's Championship; beat Sunderland Women 1-0 at home in the Women's Championship. The last 5 of these are from last season. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 5 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Karen Hills. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Liverpool Women -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** No away game yet this season. Last season away: won 1, drew 2, lost 8 of 11, scoring 8 and conceding 19 -- 0.45 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Arsenal Women 1-3 at home; lost to Manchester City Women 0-1 away; lost to West Ham United Women 0-1 at home; beat Everton Women 3-2 away; drew with Brighton & Hove Albion Women 0-0 away. The last 5 of these are from last season. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 6 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Gareth Taylor. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Charlton Athletic Ladies scores heaviest in the 31-45+ spell and concedes heaviest in 16-30; Liverpool Women scores heaviest in 1-15 and concedes heaviest in 76-90+.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Charlton Athletic Ladies scores most in the 31-45+ band (7 of 31); Charlton Athletic Ladies concedes most in the 16-30 band (5 of 21); Liverpool Women scores most in the 1-15 band (6 of 21); Liverpool Women concedes most in the 76-90+ band (8 of 34). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Charlton Athletic Ladies -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.4 and concedes 1.0 a game over its last 22 league matches; at home, 1.4 for and 0.9 against over 11. - **When it scores:** Of 31 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 4; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 7. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 7 of 31 (23%). - **When it concedes:** Of 21 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 2; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 4; 61-75: 1; 76-90+: 4. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 12 of its 22 read -- then won 10, drew 1, lost 1; conceded first in 9 -- pulled back 2 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 10 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 6 of its 22 read, winning 6 of them; trailed by two in 4, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 3. ### Liverpool Women -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.0 and concedes 1.5 a game over its last 22 league matches; away, 0.7 for and 1.7 against over 11. - **When it scores:** Of 21 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 2; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 1; 76-90+: 6. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 6 of 21 (29%). - **When it concedes:** Of 34 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 8. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 8 of 34 (24%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 8 of its 22 read -- then won 4, drew 1, lost 3; conceded first in 12 -- pulled back 0 wins and 2 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 2 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 4 of its 22 read, winning 4 of them; trailed by two in 6, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 4. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 41% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 45%. On the record this leans a tight match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Charlton Athletic Ladies's numbers over its games, Liverpool Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Charlton Athletic Ladies's own 11 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (55%). In Liverpool Women's own 11 away matches read, 4 (36%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 45% of games. ### Charlton Athletic Ladies -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 8 of its own 22 (36%); over 1.5 in 17 (77%); over 3.5 in 3 (14%). At home: over 2.5 in 4 of its 11 (36%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 12 of its own 22 (55%). At home: 5 of its 11 (45%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 22 (36%); failed to score in 3 (14%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Charlton Athletic Ladies's own 22 matches read: Charlton Athletic Ladies or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 10 (45%). Charlton Athletic Ladies itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 11. ### Liverpool Women -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 10 of its own 22 (45%); over 1.5 in 16 (73%); over 3.5 in 6 (27%). Away: over 2.5 in 6 of its 11 (55%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 11 of its own 22 (50%). Away: 5 of its 11 (45%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 22 (18%); failed to score in 9 (41%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Liverpool Women's own 22 matches read: Liverpool Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 10 (45%). Liverpool Women itself held the lead in 4, winning 4. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 4 of 11. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **Charlton Athletic Ladies is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season. +1.64 points a game is the venue form gap, in Charlton Athletic Ladies's favour: Charlton Athletic Ladies takes 2.09 a game at home over the last two seasons, Liverpool Women 0.45 away. Charlton Athletic Ladies scores heaviest in the 31-45+ spell and concedes heaviest in 16-30; Liverpool Women scores heaviest in 1-15 and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 41% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 45%. On the record this leans a tight match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: Charlton Athletic Ladies lands the first blow more often (12 of 22 to 8 of 22); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Charlton Athletic Ladies's -- two goals clear in 6 of 22, against 4 of 22; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Liverpool Women's hands -- ahead without winning in 4 of 22. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Charlton Athletic Ladies 1.53 goals expected, Liverpool Women 0.75, from two seasons of scoring rates (11 home matches and 11 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. Note: Charlton Athletic Ladies's figures include last season in the Women's Championship, where goals came against different company. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Charlton Athletic Ladies 1.78 (56%), the draw 3.88 (26%), Liverpool Women 5.50 (18%). The market's averages: ?, ? and ?. Not every market price is recorded yet -- check nearer kick-off. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 2.52 (40%), under 2.5 1.66 (60%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 2.43 (41%), no 1.70 (59%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Charlton Athletic Ladies's own 11 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (55%). In Liverpool Women's own 11 away matches read, 4 (36%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 45% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/wsl/2026-09-06/charlton-athletic-ladies-v-liverpool-women/halftime/ Built 2026-09-03T23:09:32+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.