# Manchester City Women v Liverpool Women — the Match Wizard Women's Super League, game week 3 — Friday, 18 September 2026, kick-off 19:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Manchester City Women: 24 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season. Liverpool Women: 24 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season. Look and learn: it is early in the season, so nearly everything counted here was earned last season -- by squads and dugouts a summer window may have reshaped. Treat the first five weeks as pointers while the new shapes settle, not proof. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **The table makes Manchester City Women the bigger side: 1st against 11th of 12 last season. Against the block the other keeps: Manchester City Women takes 2.78 points a game, Liverpool Women 0.12 -- the block form is Manchester City Women's.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Manchester City Women -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 1st of 14 after 2 games, with 6 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 1st of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the top block (1st to 4th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 2 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the bottom block (9th to 12th). Against that block it has won 8, drew 1, lost 0 of 9 -- 25 points of 27. At home against them: won 4 of 4. Away against them: won 4 of 5. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 4, drew 0, lost 2 of 6 (2.00 a game); against the middle block won 7, drew 0, lost 1 of 8 (2.62 a game); against the bottom block won 8, drew 1, lost 0 of 9 (2.78 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1 (3.00 a game). ### Liverpool Women -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 3rd of 14 after 2 games, with 4 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 11th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the bottom block (9th to 12th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 2 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the top block (1st to 4th). Against that block it has won 0, drew 1, lost 7 of 8 -- 1 points of 24. At home against them: won 0 of 4. Away against them: won 0 of 4. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 0, drew 1, lost 7 of 8 (0.12 a game); against the middle block won 2, drew 4, lost 3 of 9 (1.11 a game); against the bottom block won 2, drew 1, lost 3 of 6 (1.17 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1 (3.00 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+2.33 points a game is the venue form gap, in Manchester City Women's favour: Manchester City Women takes 3.00 a game at home over the last two seasons, Liverpool Women 0.67 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Manchester City Women -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1, scoring 3 and conceding 1. Last season at home: won 11, drew 0, lost 0 of 11, scoring 38 and conceding 8 -- 3.00 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Aston Villa Ladies 4-1 away; beat Birmingham City Women 3-1 at home; beat West Ham United Women 4-1 away; beat Liverpool Women 1-0 at home; lost to Brighton & Hove Albion Women 2-3 away. The last 3 of these are from last season. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 9 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Andree Jeglertz. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Liverpool Women -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1, scoring 4 and conceding 0. Last season away: won 1, drew 2, lost 8 of 11, scoring 8 and conceding 19 -- 0.45 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: drew with Tottenham Hotspur Women 1-1 at home; beat Charlton Athletic Ladies 4-0 away; lost to Arsenal Women 1-3 at home; lost to Manchester City Women 0-1 away; lost to West Ham United Women 0-1 at home. The last 3 of these are from last season. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 8 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Gareth Taylor. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Manchester City Women scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 61-75; Liverpool Women scores heaviest in 1-15 and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Manchester City Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Liverpool Women is softest.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Manchester City Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (15 of 69); Manchester City Women concedes most in the 61-75 band (6 of 21); Liverpool Women scores most in the 1-15 band (7 of 26); Liverpool Women concedes most in the 76-90+ band (8 of 35). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Manchester City Women -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 2.9 and concedes 0.9 a game over its last 24 league matches; at home, 3.4 for and 0.8 against over 12. - **When it scores:** Of 69 scored across its own 24 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 12; 31-45+: 12; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 13; 76-90+: 15. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 15 of 69 (22%). - **When it concedes:** Of 21 conceded across its own 24 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 2; 16-30: 2; 31-45+: 4; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 6; 76-90+: 4. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 19 of its 24 read -- then won 18, drew 0, lost 1; conceded first in 4 -- pulled back 2 wins and 0 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 6 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 13 of its 24 read, winning 13 of them; trailed by two in 2, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 1. ### Liverpool Women -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.1 and concedes 1.5 a game over its last 24 league matches; away, 1.0 for and 1.6 against over 12. - **When it scores:** Of 26 scored across its own 24 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 2; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 2; 76-90+: 7. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 7 of 26 (27%). - **When it concedes:** Of 35 conceded across its own 24 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 8. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 8 of 35 (23%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 9 of its 24 read -- then won 5, drew 1, lost 3; conceded first in 13 -- pulled back 0 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 3 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 5 of its 24 read, winning 5 of them; trailed by two in 6, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 4. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 62% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 54%. On the record this leans a goals match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Manchester City Women's numbers over its games, Liverpool Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Manchester City Women's own 12 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (67%). In Liverpool Women's own 12 away matches read, 5 (42%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 54% of games. ### Manchester City Women -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 24 (79%); over 1.5 in 20 (83%); over 3.5 in 11 (46%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 12 (75%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 15 of its own 24 (62%). At home: 7 of its 12 (58%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 24 (33%); failed to score in 2 (8%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Manchester City Women's own 24 matches read: Manchester City Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 15 (62%). Manchester City Women itself held the lead in 13, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 12. ### Liverpool Women -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 11 of its own 24 (46%); over 1.5 in 18 (75%); over 3.5 in 7 (29%). Away: over 2.5 in 7 of its 12 (58%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 12 of its own 24 (50%). Away: 5 of its 12 (42%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 5 of its own 24 (21%); failed to score in 9 (38%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Liverpool Women's own 24 matches read: Liverpool Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 11 (46%). Liverpool Women itself held the lead in 5, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 5 of 12. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **The table makes Manchester City Women the bigger side: 1st against 11th of 12 last season. Against the block the other keeps: Manchester City Women takes 2.78 points a game, Liverpool Women 0.12 -- the block form is Manchester City Women's. +2.33 points a game is the venue form gap, in Manchester City Women's favour: Manchester City Women takes 3.00 a game at home over the last two seasons, Liverpool Women 0.67 away. Manchester City Women scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 61-75; Liverpool Women scores heaviest in 1-15 and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Manchester City Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Liverpool Women is softest. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 62% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 54%. On the record this leans a goals match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: Manchester City Women lands the first blow more often (19 of 24 to 9 of 24); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Manchester City Women's -- two goals clear in 13 of 24, against 5 of 24; a one-goal lead has not been safe in Liverpool Women's hands -- ahead without winning in 4 of 24; Manchester City Women finds its goals latest of all -- 15 of its 69 after the 75th, and Liverpool Women concedes most in that same spell; the last quarter-hour is where this fixture's money is likeliest to move. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Manchester City Women 2.82 goals expected, Liverpool Women 0.78, from two seasons of scoring rates (12 home matches and 12 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Manchester City Women 1.26 (79%), the draw 7.69 (13%), Liverpool Women 13 (8%). The market's averages: ?, ? and ?. Not every market price is recorded yet -- check nearer kick-off. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.43 (70%), under 2.5 3.30 (30%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.96 (51%), no 2.04 (49%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Manchester City Women's own 12 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (67%). In Liverpool Women's own 12 away matches read, 5 (42%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 54% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/wsl/2026-09-18/manchester-city-women-v-liverpool-women/halftime/ Built 2026-09-15T23:01:31+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.