# Charlton Athletic Ladies v Manchester United Women — the Match Wizard Women's Super League, game week 6 — Sunday, 18 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Charlton Athletic Ladies: 27 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season in the Women's Championship. Manchester United Women: 27 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **Charlton Athletic Ladies is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Charlton Athletic Ladies -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 14th of 14 after 5 games, with 0 points -- too few games yet to mean much. It was not in this division last season -- it came up from the Women's Championship, where it finished 3rd of 12. - **Its block:** New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the top block (1st to 4th). Against that block it has won 3, drew 0, lost 4 of 7 -- 9 points of 21. At home against them: won 2 of 4. Away against them: won 1 of 3. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 3, drew 0, lost 4 of 7 (1.29 a game); against the middle block won 7, drew 1, lost 3 of 11 (2.00 a game); against the bottom block won 2, drew 5, lost 2 of 9 (1.22 a game). ### Manchester United Women -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 7th of 14 after 5 games, with 7 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 4th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the top block (1st to 4th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 5 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side new to its division, and none of the matches we hold were against that block -- nothing to read. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 0, drew 4, lost 4 of 8 (0.50 a game); against the middle block won 5, drew 3, lost 1 of 9 (2.00 a game); against the bottom block won 8, drew 1, lost 1 of 10 (2.50 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **-0.05 points a game is the venue form gap, in Manchester United Women's favour: Charlton Athletic Ladies takes 1.64 a game at home over the last two seasons, Manchester United Women 1.69 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Charlton Athletic Ladies -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 0, drew 0, lost 3 of 3, scoring 1 and conceding 9. Last season at home in the Women's Championship: won 7, drew 2, lost 2 of 11, scoring 15 and conceding 10 -- 2.09 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Brighton & Hove Albion Women 1-5 away; lost to Manchester City Women 0-1 at home; lost to London City Lionesses 1-4 at home; lost to Everton Women 0-1 away; lost to Liverpool Women 0-4 at home. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 10 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Karen Hills. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Manchester United Women -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 0, drew 1, lost 1 of 2, scoring 2 and conceding 3. Last season away: won 6, drew 3, lost 2 of 11, scoring 20 and conceding 9 -- 1.91 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Liverpool Women 1-0 at home; beat West Ham United Women 2-1 at home; drew with Arsenal Women 1-1 away; lost to Chelsea Women 0-5 at home; lost to London City Lionesses 1-2 away. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 12 matches with one recorded (7, 5 apiece), most recently Eva Olid with 5. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Charlton Athletic Ladies scores heaviest in the 31-45+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Manchester United Women scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 31-45+. The shapes mesh: Charlton Athletic Ladies's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Manchester United Women is softest.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Charlton Athletic Ladies scores most in the 31-45+ band (8 of 33); Charlton Athletic Ladies concedes most in the 76-90+ band (9 of 36); Manchester United Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (14 of 43); Manchester United Women concedes most in the 31-45+ band (9 of 31). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Charlton Athletic Ladies -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.2 and concedes 1.3 a game over its last 27 league matches; at home, 1.1 for and 1.4 against over 14. - **When it scores:** Of 33 scored across its own 27 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 4; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 7. - **When it concedes:** Of 36 conceded across its own 27 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 2; 76-90+: 9. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 9 of 36 (25%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 13 of its 27 read -- then won 10, drew 1, lost 2; conceded first in 13 -- pulled back 2 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 10 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 6 of its 27 read, winning 6 of them; trailed by two in 7, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 4. ### Manchester United Women -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.1 a game over its last 27 league matches; away, 1.7 for and 0.9 against over 13. - **When it scores:** Of 43 scored across its own 27 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 9; 76-90+: 14. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 14 of 43 (33%). - **When it concedes:** Of 31 conceded across its own 27 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 7. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 12 of its 27 read -- then won 11, drew 1, lost 0; conceded first in 11 -- pulled back 2 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 9 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 9 of its 27 read, winning 9 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 1. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 59%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Charlton Athletic Ladies's numbers over its games, Manchester United Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Charlton Athletic Ladies's own 14 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (57%). In Manchester United Women's own 13 away matches read, 8 (62%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 59% of games. ### Charlton Athletic Ladies -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 11 of its own 27 (41%); over 1.5 in 20 (74%); over 3.5 in 6 (22%). At home: over 2.5 in 6 of its 14 (43%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 14 of its own 27 (52%). At home: 6 of its 14 (43%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 27 (30%); failed to score in 6 (22%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Charlton Athletic Ladies's own 27 matches read: Charlton Athletic Ladies or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 13 (48%). Charlton Athletic Ladies itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 14. ### Manchester United Women -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 15 of its own 27 (56%); over 1.5 in 20 (74%); over 3.5 in 8 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 6 of its 13 (46%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 14 of its own 27 (52%). Away: 6 of its 13 (46%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 27 (30%); failed to score in 9 (33%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Manchester United Women's own 27 matches read: Manchester United Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 14 (52%). Manchester United Women itself held the lead in 9, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 13. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **Charlton Athletic Ladies is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season. -0.05 points a game is the venue form gap, in Manchester United Women's favour: Charlton Athletic Ladies takes 1.64 a game at home over the last two seasons, Manchester United Women 1.69 away. Charlton Athletic Ladies scores heaviest in the 31-45+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Manchester United Women scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 31-45+. The shapes mesh: Charlton Athletic Ladies's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Manchester United Women is softest. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 59%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: the first blow is even money on the record (13 of 27 and 12 of 27); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Manchester United Women's -- two goals clear in 9 of 27, against 6 of 27; Manchester United Women finds its goals latest of all -- 14 of its 43 after the 75th, and Charlton Athletic Ladies concedes most in that same spell; the last quarter-hour is where this fixture's money is likeliest to move. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Charlton Athletic Ladies 0.91 goals expected, Manchester United Women 1.57, from two seasons of scoring rates (14 home matches and 13 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. Note: Charlton Athletic Ladies's figures include last season in the Women's Championship, where goals came against different company. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Charlton Athletic Ladies 4.55 (22%), the draw 3.94 (25%), Manchester United Women 1.90 (53%). The market's averages: ?, ? and ?. Not every market price is recorded yet -- check nearer kick-off. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 2.22 (45%), under 2.5 1.82 (55%). The market's averages: over 2.5 1.60, under 2.5 2.30. The market is shorter than our number on over 2.5. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 2.11 (47%), no 1.90 (53%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Charlton Athletic Ladies's own 14 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (57%). In Manchester United Women's own 13 away matches read, 8 (62%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 59% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/wsl/2026-10-18/charlton-athletic-ladies-v-manchester-united-women/halftime/ Built 2026-10-15T23:06:16+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.