# London City Lionesses v Everton Women — the Match Wizard Women's Super League, game week 6 — Sunday, 18 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. London City Lionesses: 27 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Everton Women: 27 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **London City Lionesses and Everton Women finished near neighbours last season -- 6th and 8th of 12 -- so rank alone splits nothing here. Against the block the other keeps: London City Lionesses takes 1.88 points a game, Everton Women 1.00 -- the block form is London City Lionesses's.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### London City Lionesses -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 3rd of 14 after 5 games, with 12 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 6th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (5th to 8th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 5 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (5th to 8th). Against that block it has won 5, drew 0, lost 3 of 8 -- 15 points of 24. At home against them: won 2 of 4. Away against them: won 3 of 4. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 1, drew 1, lost 7 of 9 (0.44 a game); against the middle block won 5, drew 0, lost 3 of 8 (1.88 a game); against the bottom block won 5, drew 2, lost 2 of 9 (1.89 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1 (3.00 a game). ### Everton Women -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 5th of 14 after 5 games, with 9 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 8th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (5th to 8th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 5 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (5th to 8th). Against that block it has won 2, drew 0, lost 4 of 6 -- 6 points of 18. At home against them: won 0 of 3. Away against them: won 2 of 3. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 1, drew 0, lost 7 of 8 (0.38 a game); against the middle block won 2, drew 0, lost 4 of 6 (1.00 a game); against the bottom block won 5, drew 2, lost 3 of 10 (1.70 a game); against sides new to the division won 2, drew 0, lost 1 of 3 (2.00 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+0.48 points a game is the venue form gap, in London City Lionesses's favour: London City Lionesses takes 1.69 a game at home over the last two seasons, Everton Women 1.21 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### London City Lionesses -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 2, drew 0, lost 0 of 2, scoring 4 and conceding 1. Last season at home: won 5, drew 1, lost 5 of 11, scoring 16 and conceding 16 -- 1.45 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Tottenham Hotspur Women 6-1 away; beat Brighton & Hove Albion Women 2-0 at home; beat Charlton Athletic Ladies 4-1 away; lost to West Ham United Women 1-2 away; beat Manchester United Women 2-1 at home. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 13 matches with one recorded (9, 4 apiece), most recently Eder Maestre Eguia with 9. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Everton Women -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 1, drew 0, lost 2 of 3, scoring 1 and conceding 3. Last season away: won 4, drew 2, lost 5 of 11, scoring 14 and conceding 15 -- 1.27 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Birmingham City Women 2-1 at home; lost to Liverpool Women 0-2 away; beat West Ham United Women 1-0 away; beat Charlton Athletic Ladies 1-0 at home; lost to Crystal Palace Ladies 0-1 away. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 6 matches with one recorded (5, 1 apiece), most recently Brian Sorensen with 1. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **London City Lionesses scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Everton Women scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 1-15. The shapes mesh: Everton Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where London City Lionesses is softest.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: London City Lionesses scores most in the 76-90+ band (13 of 43); London City Lionesses concedes most in the 76-90+ band (9 of 40); Everton Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (9 of 29); Everton Women concedes most in the 1-15 band (9 of 41). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### London City Lionesses -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.5 a game over its last 27 league matches; at home, 1.5 for and 1.3 against over 13. - **When it scores:** Of 43 scored across its own 27 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 6; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 13. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 13 of 43 (30%). - **When it concedes:** Of 40 conceded across its own 27 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 9. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 9 of 40 (22%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 12 of its 27 read -- then won 9, drew 1, lost 2; conceded first in 14 -- pulled back 3 wins and 1 draw from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 10 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 8 of its 27 read, winning 8 of them; trailed by two in 7, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 3. ### Everton Women -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.1 and concedes 1.5 a game over its last 27 league matches; away, 1.1 for and 1.3 against over 14. - **When it scores:** Of 29 scored across its own 27 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 2; 31-45+: 3; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 9. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 9 of 29 (31%). - **When it concedes:** Of 41 conceded across its own 27 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 9; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 8. Its heaviest conceding spell is the first 15 minutes -- 9 of 41 (22%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 11 of its 27 read -- then won 8, drew 2, lost 1; conceded first in 16 -- pulled back 2 wins and 0 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 7 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 1 of its 27 read, winning 1 of them; trailed by two in 9, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 3. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 59%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 37%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- London City Lionesses's numbers over its games, Everton Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In London City Lionesses's own 13 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (46%). In Everton Women's own 14 away matches read, 4 (29%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 37% of games. ### London City Lionesses -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 27 (59%); over 1.5 in 21 (78%); over 3.5 in 8 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 6 of its 13 (46%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 18 of its own 27 (67%). At home: 7 of its 13 (54%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 27 (15%); failed to score in 6 (22%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over London City Lionesses's own 27 matches read: London City Lionesses or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 15 (56%). London City Lionesses itself held the lead in 8, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 13. ### Everton Women -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 13 of its own 27 (48%); over 1.5 in 17 (63%); over 3.5 in 7 (26%). Away: over 2.5 in 5 of its 14 (36%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 14 of its own 27 (52%). Away: 6 of its 14 (43%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 27 (22%); failed to score in 7 (26%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Everton Women's own 27 matches read: Everton Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 10 (37%). Everton Women itself held the lead in 1, winning 1. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 4 of 14. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **London City Lionesses and Everton Women finished near neighbours last season -- 6th and 8th of 12 -- so rank alone splits nothing here. Against the block the other keeps: London City Lionesses takes 1.88 points a game, Everton Women 1.00 -- the block form is London City Lionesses's. +0.48 points a game is the venue form gap, in London City Lionesses's favour: London City Lionesses takes 1.69 a game at home over the last two seasons, Everton Women 1.21 away. London City Lionesses scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Everton Women scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 1-15. The shapes mesh: Everton Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where London City Lionesses is softest. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 59%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 37%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: the first blow is even money on the record (12 of 27 and 11 of 27); Everton Women is at its softest in the opening quarter-hour (9 of its 41 conceded before the 16th); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often London City Lionesses's -- two goals clear in 8 of 27, against 1 of 27; London City Lionesses finds its goals latest of all -- 13 of its 43 after the 75th; Everton Women finds its goals latest of all -- 9 of its 29 after the 75th, and London City Lionesses concedes most in that same spell; the last quarter-hour is where this fixture's money is likeliest to move. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: London City Lionesses 1.35 goals expected, Everton Women 1.12, from two seasons of scoring rates (13 home matches and 14 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. - **Match result:** Our tissue: London City Lionesses 2.37 (42%), the draw 3.71 (27%), Everton Women 3.24 (31%). The market's averages: 1.32, 4.65 and 7.55. The widest gap is on Everton Women: the market offers 7.55 against our 3.24. If our figures are right that is value; nothing proves they are. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 2.23 (45%), under 2.5 1.81 (55%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 2.00 (50%), no 2.00 (50%). The market has not recorded both sides of this line yet. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In London City Lionesses's own 13 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (46%). In Everton Women's own 14 away matches read, 4 (29%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 37% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/wsl/2026-10-18/london-city-lionesses-v-everton-women/halftime/ Built 2026-10-15T23:06:17+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.