# Manchester United Women v Crystal Palace Ladies — the Match Wizard Women's Super League, game week 10 — Saturday, 14 November 2026, kick-off 12:45 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Manchester United Women: 31 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Crystal Palace Ladies: 31 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season in the Women's Championship. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **Crystal Palace Ladies is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Manchester United Women -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 5th of 14 after 9 games, with 15 points. Last season it finished 4th of 12 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the top block (1st to 4th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 9 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side new to its division. Against that block it has won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1. Away against them: won 1 of 1. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 0, drew 5, lost 4 of 9 (0.56 a game); against the middle block won 5, drew 4, lost 1 of 10 (1.90 a game); against the bottom block won 9, drew 1, lost 1 of 11 (2.55 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1 (3.00 a game). ### Crystal Palace Ladies -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 10th of 14 after 9 games, with 9 points. It was not in this division last season -- it came up from the Women's Championship, where it finished 2nd of 12. - **Its block:** New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the top block (1st to 4th). Against that block it has won 5, drew 1, lost 2 of 8 -- 16 points of 24. At home against them: won 3 of 4. Away against them: won 2 of 4. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 5, drew 1, lost 2 of 8 (2.00 a game); against the middle block won 4, drew 4, lost 3 of 11 (1.45 a game); against the bottom block won 5, drew 2, lost 3 of 10 (1.70 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 1, lost 0 of 2 (2.00 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **+0.20 points a game is the venue form gap, in Manchester United Women's favour: Manchester United Women takes 1.73 a game at home over the last two seasons, Crystal Palace Ladies 1.53 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Manchester United Women -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 2, drew 1, lost 1 of 4, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Last season at home: won 5, drew 4, lost 2 of 11, scoring 18 and conceding 13 -- 1.73 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Aston Villa Ladies 1-0 away; drew with Everton Women 0-0 away; drew with Manchester City Women 1-1 at home; beat Charlton Athletic Ladies 3-1 away; beat Liverpool Women 1-0 at home. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 16 matches with one recorded (9, 7 apiece), most recently Eva Olid with 9. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Crystal Palace Ladies -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 0, drew 3, lost 1 of 4, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Last season away in the Women's Championship: won 6, drew 2, lost 3 of 11, scoring 16 and conceding 13 -- 1.82 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: beat Charlton Athletic Ladies 3-2 at home; lost to Brighton & Hove Albion Women 1-2 away; lost to Chelsea Women 1-3 at home; lost to West Ham United Women 0-1 at home; drew with Aston Villa Ladies 1-1 away. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 14 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Josanne Potter. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Manchester United Women scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; Crystal Palace Ladies scores heaviest in 46-60 and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Manchester United Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Crystal Palace Ladies is softest.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Manchester United Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (15 of 48); Manchester United Women concedes most in the 31-45+ band (9 of 33); Crystal Palace Ladies scores most in the 46-60 band (12 of 54); Crystal Palace Ladies concedes most in the 76-90+ band (14 of 45). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Manchester United Women -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.5 and concedes 1.1 a game over its last 31 league matches; at home, 1.5 for and 1.3 against over 15. - **When it scores:** Of 48 scored across its own 31 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 10; 76-90+: 15. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 15 of 48 (31%). - **When it concedes:** Of 33 conceded across its own 31 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 7. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 14 of its 31 read -- then won 13, drew 1, lost 0; conceded first in 12 -- pulled back 2 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 10 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 10 of its 31 read, winning 10 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 1. ### Crystal Palace Ladies -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.7 and concedes 1.5 a game over its last 31 league matches; away, 1.4 for and 1.3 against over 15. - **When it scores:** Of 54 scored across its own 31 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 10; 76-90+: 10. - **When it concedes:** Of 45 conceded across its own 31 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 6; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 14. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 14 of 45 (31%). - **The first goal:** Scored first in 14 of its 31 read -- then won 11, drew 1, lost 2; conceded first in 15 -- pulled back 4 wins and 5 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 20 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 8 of its 31 read, winning 7 of them; trailed by two in 4, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 5. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 58% of their games, both teams scoring in 58%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 33%. On the record this leans a goals match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Manchester United Women's numbers over its games, Crystal Palace Ladies's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Manchester United Women's own 15 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (40%). In Crystal Palace Ladies's own 15 away matches read, 4 (27%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 33% of games. ### Manchester United Women -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 31 (52%); over 1.5 in 22 (71%); over 3.5 in 9 (29%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 15 (60%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 16 of its own 31 (52%). At home: 9 of its 15 (60%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 31 (32%); failed to score in 10 (32%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Manchester United Women's own 31 matches read: Manchester United Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 15 (48%). Manchester United Women itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 15. ### Crystal Palace Ladies -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 31 (65%); over 1.5 in 23 (74%); over 3.5 in 12 (39%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 15 (60%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 20 of its own 31 (65%). Away: 11 of its 15 (73%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 31 (26%); failed to score in 5 (16%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Crystal Palace Ladies's own 31 matches read: Crystal Palace Ladies or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 12 (39%). Crystal Palace Ladies itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 4 of 15. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **Crystal Palace Ladies is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season. +0.20 points a game is the venue form gap, in Manchester United Women's favour: Manchester United Women takes 1.73 a game at home over the last two seasons, Crystal Palace Ladies 1.53 away. Manchester United Women scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; Crystal Palace Ladies scores heaviest in 46-60 and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Manchester United Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Crystal Palace Ladies is softest. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 58% of their games, both teams scoring in 58%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 33%. On the record this leans a goals match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: the first blow is even money on the record (14 of 31 and 14 of 31); a one-goal lead has not been safe in Crystal Palace Ladies's hands -- ahead without winning in 5 of 31; Manchester United Women finds its goals latest of all -- 15 of its 48 after the 75th, and Crystal Palace Ladies concedes most in that same spell; the last quarter-hour is where this fixture's money is likeliest to move. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Manchester United Women 1.29 goals expected, Crystal Palace Ladies 1.35, from two seasons of scoring rates (15 home matches and 15 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. Note: Crystal Palace Ladies's figures include last season in the Women's Championship, where goals came against different company. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Manchester United Women 2.82 (36%), the draw 3.83 (26%), Crystal Palace Ladies 2.61 (38%). The market's averages: 1.30, 5.15 and 7.50. The widest gap is on Crystal Palace Ladies: the market offers 7.50 against our 2.61. If our figures are right that is value; nothing proves they are. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 2.03 (49%), under 2.5 1.97 (51%). The market's averages: over 2.5 1.40, under 2.5 2.56. The market is shorter than our number on over 2.5. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.86 (54%), no 2.16 (46%). The market's averages: yes 1.70, no 2.00. Close to our view -- no argument either way. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Manchester United Women's own 15 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (40%). In Crystal Palace Ladies's own 15 away matches read, 4 (27%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 33% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/wsl/2026-11-14/manchester-united-women-v-crystal-palace-ladies/halftime/ Built 2026-11-12T02:20:22+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.