Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 59% of their games, both teams scoring in 62%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Queens Park Rangers: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Middlesbrough: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Queens Park Rangers's numbers over its games, Middlesbrough's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Queens Park Rangers's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 15 (60%). In Middlesbrough's own 25 away matches read, 9 (36%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Queens Park Rangers -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 32 of its own 50 (64%); over 1.5 in 38 (76%); over 3.5 in 18 (36%). At home: over 2.5 in 19 of its 25 (76%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 32 of its own 50 (64%). At home: 18 of its 25 (72%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 14 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Queens Park Rangers's own 50 matches read: Queens Park Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Queens Park Rangers itself held the lead in 11, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 25.
Middlesbrough -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 25 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). Away: 17 of its 25 (68%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 13 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Middlesbrough's own 50 matches read: Middlesbrough or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (34%). Middlesbrough itself held the lead in 13, winning 13. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.