Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Bristol City: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Sheffield United: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Bristol City's numbers over its games, Sheffield United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Bristol City's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (52%). In Sheffield United's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Bristol City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 50 (44%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 25 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 50 (46%). At home: 8 of its 25 (32%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 17 (34%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Bristol City's own 50 matches read: Bristol City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (44%). Bristol City itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 25.
Sheffield United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 32 of its own 50 (64%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 50 (62%). Away: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 9 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Sheffield United's own 50 matches read: Sheffield United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Sheffield United itself held the lead in 17, winning 14. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.