+0.68 points a game is the venue form gap, in Watford's favour: Watford takes 1.60 a game at home over the last two seasons, Charlton Athletic 0.92 away.
Watford: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Charlton Athletic: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Watford -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 2, drew 1, lost 2 of 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Last season at home: won 9, drew 6, lost 5 of 20, scoring 26 and conceding 23 -- 1.65 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Cardiff City 1-5 away; lost to Burnley 0-4 at home; lost to Bristol City 0-1 away; lost to Stoke City 1-2 at home; beat Preston North End 2-1 at home.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 4 different managers took its 34 matches with one recorded (13, 10, 8, 3 apiece), most recently Alessio Dionisi with 10. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Charlton Athletic -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 1, drew 2, lost 2 of 5, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Last season away: won 3, drew 9, lost 8 of 20, scoring 19 and conceding 29 -- 0.90 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Burnley 2-2 away; drew with Bristol City 1-1 at home; lost to Cardiff City 1-3 away; drew with Portsmouth 0-0 at home; drew with Queens Park Rangers 0-0 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 34 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Nathan Jones. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 07:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.