West Bromwich Albion scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; Blackburn Rovers scores heaviest in 31-45+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: West Bromwich Albion's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Blackburn Rovers is softest.
West Bromwich Albion: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Blackburn Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: West Bromwich Albion scores most in the 76-90+ band (13 of 53); West Bromwich Albion concedes most in the 31-45+ band (13 of 62); Blackburn Rovers scores most in the 31-45+ band (14 of 52); Blackburn Rovers concedes most in the 76-90+ band (14 of 61). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
West Bromwich Albion -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.1 and concedes 1.2 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 1.3 for and 1.1 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 53 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 10; 76-90+: 13. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 13 of 53 (25%).
When it concedes
Of 62 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 10; 76-90+: 12.
The first goal
Scored first in 19 of its 50 read -- then won 11, drew 6, lost 2; conceded first in 25 -- pulled back 4 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 15 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 9 of its 50 read, winning 7 of them; trailed by two in 12, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 8.
Blackburn Rovers -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.0 and concedes 1.2 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.0 for and 1.3 against over 24.
When it scores
Of 52 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 14; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 11.
When it concedes
Of 61 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 12; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 14. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 14 of 61 (23%).
The first goal
Scored first in 23 of its 50 read -- then won 12, drew 4, lost 7; conceded first in 22 -- pulled back 3 wins and 7 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 16 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 6 of its 50 read, winning 6 of them; trailed by two in 11, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 13.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.