Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 51% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Bristol City: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season. Norwich City: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Bristol City's numbers over its games, Norwich City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Bristol City's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (52%). In Norwich City's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Bristol City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 50 (46%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 25 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 50 (46%). At home: 7 of its 25 (28%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 18 (36%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Bristol City's own 50 matches read: Bristol City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (44%). Bristol City itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 25.
Norwich City -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 50 (56%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). Away: over 2.5 in 16 of its 25 (64%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 50 (18%); failed to score in 11 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Norwich City's own 50 matches read: Norwich City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (46%). Norwich City itself held the lead in 14, winning 14. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
Built 10:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.