+0.90 points a game is the venue form gap, in Brighton & Hove Albion's favour: Brighton & Hove Albion takes 1.80 a game at home over the last two seasons, Leeds United 0.90 away.
Brighton & Hove Albion: 40 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season. Leeds United: 40 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Brighton & Hove Albion -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1, scoring 4 and conceding 0. Last season at home: won 9, drew 6, lost 4 of 19, scoring 30 and conceding 20 -- 1.74 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Chelsea 3-4 away; beat Aston Villa 4-0 at home; lost to Manchester United 0-3 at home; lost to Leeds United 0-1 away; beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-0 at home. The last 3 of these are from last season.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 40 matches with one recorded (39, 1 apiece), most recently Fabian Hürzeler with 39. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Leeds United -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1, scoring 1 and conceding 0. Last season away: won 2, drew 9, lost 8 of 19, scoring 20 and conceding 35 -- 0.79 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Brentford 1-1 at home; beat Nottingham Forest 1-0 away; lost to West Ham United 0-3 away; beat Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 at home; drew with Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 away. The last 3 of these are from last season.
The dugout
Every one of the 40 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Daniel Farke. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.