-0.15 points a game is the venue form gap, in Manchester United's favour: Everton takes 1.30 a game at home over the last two seasons, Manchester United 1.45 away.
Everton: 40 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season. Manchester United: 40 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Everton -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1, scoring 2 and conceding 0. Last season at home: won 6, drew 5, lost 8 of 19, scoring 26 and conceding 27 -- 1.21 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with AFC Bournemouth 1-1 away; beat Crystal Palace 2-0 at home; lost to Tottenham Hotspur 0-1 away; lost to Sunderland 1-3 at home; drew with Crystal Palace 2-2 away. The last 3 of these are from last season.
The dugout
Every one of the 39 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by David Moyes. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Manchester United -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 0, drew 0, lost 1 of 1, scoring 0 and conceding 2. Last season away: won 7, drew 8, lost 4 of 19, scoring 30 and conceding 26 -- 1.53 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Ipswich Town 5-2 at home; lost to Hull City 0-2 away; beat Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 away; beat Nottingham Forest 3-2 at home; drew with Sunderland 0-0 away. The last 3 of these are from last season.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 39 matches with one recorded (20, 19 apiece), most recently Michael Carrick with 19. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 06:40 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.