-0.33 points a game is the venue form gap, in Nottingham Forest's favour: Crystal Palace takes 1.00 a game at home over the last two seasons, Nottingham Forest 1.33 away.
Crystal Palace: 43 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Nottingham Forest: 43 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Crystal Palace -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 0, drew 0, lost 2 of 2, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Last season at home: won 4, drew 9, lost 6 of 19, scoring 19 and conceding 23 -- 1.11 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Leeds United 0-0 away; lost to Ipswich Town 2-3 at home; beat Fulham 3-2 away; lost to Manchester City 1-4 at home; lost to Everton 0-2 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 43 matches with one recorded (38, 5 apiece), most recently Pierre Sage with 5. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Nottingham Forest -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 1, drew 1, lost 0 of 2, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Last season away: won 7, drew 3, lost 9 of 19, scoring 28 and conceding 28 -- 1.26 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Coventry City 0-1 at home; beat Aston Villa 2-1 away; drew with Tottenham Hotspur 0-0 at home; drew with Liverpool 2-2 away; lost to Leeds United 0-1 at home.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 5 different managers took its 43 matches with one recorded (18, 12, 5, 5, 3 apiece), most recently Oliver Glasner with 5. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 14:36 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.