Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 64% of their games, both teams scoring in 61%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Coventry City: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship. Newcastle United: 43 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Coventry City's numbers over its games, Newcastle United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Coventry City's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 14 (58%). In Newcastle United's own 21 away matches read, 8 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Coventry City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 50 (62%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 18 (36%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 24 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 50 (54%). At home: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 50 (34%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Coventry City's own 50 matches read: Coventry City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Coventry City itself held the lead in 19, winning 19. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 24.
Newcastle United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 43 (65%); over 1.5 in 34 (79%); over 3.5 in 16 (37%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 21 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 43 (67%). Away: 11 of its 21 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 43 (21%); failed to score in 9 (21%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Newcastle United's own 43 matches read: Newcastle United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (42%). Newcastle United itself held the lead in 10, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 21.
Built 17:31 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.