Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 57% of their games, both teams scoring in 59%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Brentford: 44 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season. Liverpool: 44 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Brentford's numbers over its games, Liverpool's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Brentford's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (55%). In Liverpool's own 22 away matches read, 10 (45%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.
The two sides
Brentford -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 44 (55%); over 1.5 in 37 (84%); over 3.5 in 16 (36%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 22 (59%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 44 (55%). At home: 12 of its 22 (55%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 44 (27%); failed to score in 12 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Brentford's own 44 matches read: Brentford or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (55%). Brentford itself held the lead in 14, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 22.
Liverpool -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 44 (59%); over 1.5 in 36 (82%); over 3.5 in 13 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 22 (68%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 44 (64%). Away: 14 of its 22 (64%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 44 (30%); failed to score in 6 (14%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Liverpool's own 44 matches read: Liverpool or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (48%). Liverpool itself held the lead in 14, winning 13. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 22.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.