Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 57% of their games, both teams scoring in 69%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Manchester United: 45 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. AFC Bournemouth: 45 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Manchester United's numbers over its games, AFC Bournemouth's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Manchester United's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (55%). In AFC Bournemouth's own 22 away matches read, 9 (41%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Manchester United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 45 (58%); over 1.5 in 38 (84%); over 3.5 in 16 (36%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 22 (55%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 32 of its own 45 (71%). At home: 15 of its 22 (68%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 45 (18%); failed to score in 6 (13%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Manchester United's own 45 matches read: Manchester United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (38%). Manchester United itself held the lead in 13, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 22.
AFC Bournemouth -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 45 (56%); over 1.5 in 35 (78%); over 3.5 in 19 (42%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 22 (68%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 45 (67%). Away: 16 of its 22 (73%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 45 (27%); failed to score in 8 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over AFC Bournemouth's own 45 matches read: AFC Bournemouth or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (36%). AFC Bournemouth itself held the lead in 9, winning 6. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 22.
Built 10:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.