+0.43 points a game is the venue form gap, in Brentford's favour: Brentford takes 1.70 a game at home over the last two seasons, Nottingham Forest 1.26 away.
Brentford: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season. Nottingham Forest: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Brentford -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 2, drew 1, lost 1 of 4, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Last season at home: won 8, drew 8, lost 3 of 19, scoring 33 and conceding 21 -- 1.68 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Hull City 1-1 away; lost to Liverpool 1-2 at home; drew with Aston Villa 2-2 away; beat Chelsea 3-0 at home; drew with AFC Bournemouth 2-2 away.
The dugout
Our feed records no manager against any of its banked matches, so the dugout cannot be read.
Nottingham Forest -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 1, drew 2, lost 1 of 4, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Last season away: won 7, drew 3, lost 9 of 19, scoring 28 and conceding 28 -- 1.26 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Ipswich Town 1-1 away; lost to Arsenal 0-1 at home; lost to Crystal Palace 1-3 away; lost to Coventry City 0-1 at home; beat Aston Villa 2-1 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 5 different managers took its 46 matches with one recorded (18, 12, 8, 5, 3 apiece), most recently Oliver Glasner with 8. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 06:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.