Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 63% of their games, both teams scoring in 66%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 39%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Chelsea: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season. Manchester United: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Chelsea's numbers over its games, Manchester United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Chelsea's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (57%). In Manchester United's own 23 away matches read, 5 (22%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 39% of games.
The two sides
Chelsea -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 46 (67%); over 1.5 in 41 (89%); over 3.5 in 16 (35%). At home: over 2.5 in 14 of its 23 (61%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 46 (63%). At home: 14 of its 23 (61%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 46 (22%); failed to score in 9 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Chelsea's own 46 matches read: Chelsea or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (61%). Chelsea itself held the lead in 16, winning 15. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 23.
Manchester United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 46 (59%); over 1.5 in 39 (85%); over 3.5 in 16 (35%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 23 (61%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 32 of its own 46 (70%). Away: 17 of its 23 (74%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 46 (17%); failed to score in 7 (15%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Manchester United's own 46 matches read: Manchester United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (39%). Manchester United itself held the lead in 13, winning 13. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 5 of 23.
Built 06:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.