Peterborough United v Sheffield Wednesday

League One, game week 5 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 55% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 54%. On the record this leans a goals match.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Peterborough United: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Sheffield Wednesday: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Peterborough United's numbers over its games, Sheffield Wednesday's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Peterborough United's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (52%). In Sheffield Wednesday's own 25 away matches read, 14 (56%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 54% of games.

The two sides

Peterborough United -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 50 (56%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 50 (56%). At home: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 13 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Peterborough United's own 50 matches read: Peterborough United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 29 (58%). Peterborough United itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 25.

Sheffield Wednesday -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 25 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 50 (50%). Away: 13 of its 25 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 50 (8%); failed to score in 24 (48%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Sheffield Wednesday's own 50 matches read: Sheffield Wednesday or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Sheffield Wednesday itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 25.

Built 06:38 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.