Wigan Athletic v Stockport County

League One, game week 5 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Wigan Athletic: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Stockport County: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Wigan Athletic's numbers over its games, Stockport County's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Wigan Athletic's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (44%). In Stockport County's own 25 away matches read, 14 (56%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.

The two sides

Wigan Athletic -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 50 (36%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 10 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 7 of its 25 (28%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 50 (44%). At home: 6 of its 25 (24%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 18 (36%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Wigan Athletic's own 50 matches read: Wigan Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (42%). Wigan Athletic itself held the lead in 9, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.

Stockport County -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 50 (60%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). Away: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 9 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Stockport County's own 50 matches read: Stockport County or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Stockport County itself held the lead in 15, winning 14. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 25.

Built 06:38 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.