Bromley v AFC Wimbledon

League One, game week 5 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 51% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 44%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Bromley: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the League Two. AFC Wimbledon: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Bromley's numbers over its games, AFC Wimbledon's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Bromley's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (40%). In AFC Wimbledon's own 25 away matches read, 12 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 44% of games.

The two sides

Bromley -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 50 (52%); over 1.5 in 38 (76%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 50 (58%). At home: 16 of its 25 (64%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 50 (34%); failed to score in 9 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Bromley's own 50 matches read: Bromley or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (44%). Bromley itself held the lead in 14, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.

AFC Wimbledon -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 50 (50%); over 1.5 in 33 (66%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 25 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 50 (44%). Away: 12 of its 25 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 50 (20%); failed to score in 21 (42%).
Two goals clear
Counted over AFC Wimbledon's own 50 matches read: AFC Wimbledon or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (44%). AFC Wimbledon itself held the lead in 8, winning 8. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.

Built 06:40 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.