Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 53% of their games, both teams scoring in 55%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 44%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
AFC Wimbledon: 50 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season. Milton Keynes Dons: 50 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season in the League Two.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- AFC Wimbledon's numbers over its games, Milton Keynes Dons's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In AFC Wimbledon's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (36%). In Milton Keynes Dons's own 25 away matches read, 13 (52%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 44% of games.
The two sides
AFC Wimbledon -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 50 (50%); over 1.5 in 33 (66%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 25 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 50 (44%). At home: 10 of its 25 (40%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 20 (40%).
Two goals clear
Counted over AFC Wimbledon's own 50 matches read: AFC Wimbledon or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (44%). AFC Wimbledon itself held the lead in 8, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.
Milton Keynes Dons -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 50 (56%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 20 (40%). Away: over 2.5 in 16 of its 25 (64%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 33 of its own 50 (66%). Away: 19 of its 25 (76%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 6 (12%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Milton Keynes Dons's own 50 matches read: Milton Keynes Dons or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Milton Keynes Dons itself held the lead in 19, winning 17. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 25.
Built 07:32 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.