Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 44% of their games, both teams scoring in 48%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 33%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Stevenage: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Sheffield Wednesday: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Stevenage's numbers over its games, Sheffield Wednesday's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Stevenage's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 3 (12%). In Sheffield Wednesday's own 24 away matches read, 13 (54%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 33% of games.
The two sides
Stevenage -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 50 (38%); over 1.5 in 27 (54%); over 3.5 in 10 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 25 (36%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 50 (48%). At home: 12 of its 25 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 18 of its own 50 (36%); failed to score in 14 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Stevenage's own 50 matches read: Stevenage or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 12 (24%). Stevenage itself held the lead in 5, winning 5. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 3 of 25.
Sheffield Wednesday -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 50 (50%); over 1.5 in 38 (76%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 24 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 50 (48%). Away: 12 of its 24 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 50 (12%); failed to score in 25 (50%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Sheffield Wednesday's own 50 matches read: Sheffield Wednesday or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Sheffield Wednesday itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 24.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.