Wycombe Wanderers scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; Reading scores heaviest in 31-45+ and concedes heaviest in 46-60. The shapes mesh: Reading's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Wycombe Wanderers is softest.
Wycombe Wanderers: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Reading: 50 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Wycombe Wanderers scores most in the 76-90+ band (19 of 77); Wycombe Wanderers concedes most in the 31-45+ band (16 of 67); Reading scores most in the 31-45+ band (19 of 78); Reading concedes most in the 46-60 band (15 of 63). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Wycombe Wanderers -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.5 and concedes 1.3 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 2.0 for and 1.1 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 77 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 15; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 13; 76-90+: 19. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 19 of 77 (25%).
When it concedes
Of 67 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 16; 46-60: 11; 61-75: 9; 76-90+: 14.
The first goal
Scored first in 28 of its 50 read -- then won 18, drew 7, lost 3; conceded first in 19 -- pulled back 1 win and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 13 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 15 of its 50 read, winning 13 of them; trailed by two in 11, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 10.
Reading -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.3 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.3 for and 1.3 against over 24.
When it scores
Of 78 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 19; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 13; 76-90+: 18.
When it concedes
Of 63 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 4; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 15; 61-75: 15; 76-90+: 14.
The first goal
Scored first in 26 of its 50 read -- then won 17, drew 7, lost 2; conceded first in 23 -- pulled back 2 wins and 8 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 18 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 11 of its 50 read, winning 10 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 12.
Built 00:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.