+0.30 points a game is the venue form gap, in Peterborough United's favour: Peterborough United takes 1.38 a game at home over the last two seasons, Burton Albion 1.08 away.
Peterborough United: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Burton Albion: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Peterborough United -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 1, drew 1, lost 2 of 4, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Last season at home: won 8, drew 5, lost 7 of 20, scoring 38 and conceding 26 -- 1.45 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Leicester City 3-1 away; lost to Stockport County 0-1 away; lost to Doncaster Rovers 0-2 at home; drew with Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 away; lost to Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 at home.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 3 different managers took its 22 matches with one recorded (16, 5, 1 apiece), most recently Robbie Savage with 1. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Burton Albion -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 2, drew 0, lost 3 of 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Last season away: won 4, drew 10, lost 7 of 21, scoring 20 and conceding 27 -- 1.05 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Doncaster Rovers 0-1 away; lost to Huddersfield Town 1-3 at home; beat Plymouth Argyle 1-0 away; drew with Mansfield Town 2-2 at home; lost to Oxford United 0-3 away.
The dugout
Every one of the 20 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Gary Bowyer. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 03:22 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.