Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 55% of their games, both teams scoring in 55%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 42%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Peterborough United: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Burton Albion: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Peterborough United's numbers over its games, Burton Albion's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Peterborough United's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (54%). In Burton Albion's own 26 away matches read, 8 (31%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 42% of games.
The two sides
Peterborough United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 50 (58%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 14 (28%). At home: over 2.5 in 15 of its 24 (62%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 50 (58%). At home: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 12 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Peterborough United's own 50 matches read: Peterborough United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 29 (58%). Peterborough United itself held the lead in 11, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 24.
Burton Albion -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 50 (52%); over 1.5 in 36 (72%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 26 (46%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 50 (52%). Away: 13 of its 26 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 15 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Burton Albion's own 50 matches read: Burton Albion or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (40%). Burton Albion itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 26.
Built 03:22 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.