Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 47% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Leicester City: 50 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship. Wigan Athletic: 50 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Leicester City's numbers over its games, Wigan Athletic's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Leicester City's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 15 (60%). In Wigan Athletic's own 25 away matches read, 10 (40%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.
The two sides
Leicester City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 50 (58%); over 1.5 in 44 (88%); over 3.5 in 16 (32%). At home: over 2.5 in 15 of its 25 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 36 of its own 50 (72%). At home: 18 of its 25 (72%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 50 (12%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Leicester City's own 50 matches read: Leicester City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Leicester City itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 25.
Wigan Athletic -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 50 (36%); over 1.5 in 32 (64%); over 3.5 in 8 (16%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 25 (44%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 20 of its own 50 (40%). Away: 16 of its 25 (64%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 20 (40%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Wigan Athletic's own 50 matches read: Wigan Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (40%). Wigan Athletic itself held the lead in 7, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.
Built 09:32 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.