Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 35%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Sheffield Wednesday: 50 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship. Cambridge United: 50 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season in the League Two.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Sheffield Wednesday's numbers over its games, Cambridge United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Sheffield Wednesday's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (42%). In Cambridge United's own 24 away matches read, 7 (29%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 35% of games.
The two sides
Sheffield Wednesday -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 50 (52%); over 1.5 in 38 (76%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 24 (46%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 50 (48%). At home: 11 of its 24 (46%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 50 (12%); failed to score in 25 (50%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Sheffield Wednesday's own 50 matches read: Sheffield Wednesday or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Sheffield Wednesday itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 24.
Cambridge United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 50 (44%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 9 (18%). Away: over 2.5 in 7 of its 24 (29%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 50 (56%). Away: 11 of its 24 (46%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 50 (38%); failed to score in 9 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Cambridge United's own 50 matches read: Cambridge United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (38%). Cambridge United itself held the lead in 14, winning 14. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 24.
Built 13:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.