Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 61% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 40%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Crewe Alexandra: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. York City: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the National League.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Crewe Alexandra's numbers over its games, York City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Crewe Alexandra's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (32%). In York City's own 25 away matches read, 12 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 40% of games.
The two sides
Crewe Alexandra -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 50 (50%); over 1.5 in 34 (68%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 50 (54%). At home: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 14 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Crewe Alexandra's own 50 matches read: Crewe Alexandra or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (36%). Crewe Alexandra itself held the lead in 9, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 25.
York City -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 36 of its own 50 (72%); over 1.5 in 44 (88%); over 3.5 in 25 (50%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 50 (38%); failed to score in 2 (4%).
Two goals clear
Counted over York City's own 50 matches read: York City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (56%). York City itself held the lead in 24, winning 24. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.
Built 06:10 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.