Swindon Town and Colchester United finished near neighbours last season -- 9th and 12th of 24 -- so rank alone splits nothing here. Against the block the other keeps: Swindon Town takes 1.33 points a game, Colchester United 1.41 -- nothing between them.
Swindon Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Colchester United: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart?
The two sides
Swindon Town -- at home
Where it stands
Stands 9th of 24 after 4 games, with 7 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 9th of 24 in this division.
Its block
By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (9th to 16th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 4 games old.
Against today's opponent's block
Today it faces a side from the middle block (9th to 16th). Against that block it has won 5, drew 5, lost 5 of 15 -- 20 points of 45. At home against them: won 2 of 7. Away against them: won 3 of 8.
Across all the blocks
Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 4, drew 3, lost 9 of 16 (0.94 a game); against the middle block won 5, drew 5, lost 5 of 15 (1.33 a game); against the bottom block won 14, drew 1, lost 2 of 17 (2.53 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 1, lost 0 of 2 (2.00 a game).
Colchester United -- away
Where it stands
Stands 8th of 24 after 4 games, with 7 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 12th of 24 in this division.
Its block
By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (9th to 16th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 4 games old.
Against today's opponent's block
Today it faces a side from the middle block (9th to 16th). Against that block it has won 6, drew 6, lost 5 of 17 -- 24 points of 51. At home against them: won 4 of 8. Away against them: won 2 of 9.
Across all the blocks
Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 5, drew 2, lost 9 of 16 (1.06 a game); against the middle block won 6, drew 6, lost 5 of 17 (1.41 a game); against the bottom block won 8, drew 5, lost 3 of 16 (1.81 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 0, lost 0 of 1 (3.00 a game).
Built 06:10 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.