Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 51% of their games, both teams scoring in 61%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 42%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Fleetwood Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Rochdale: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season in the National League.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Fleetwood Town's numbers over its games, Rochdale's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Fleetwood Town's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (28%). In Rochdale's own 25 away matches read, 14 (56%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 42% of games.
The two sides
Fleetwood Town -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 50 (42%); over 1.5 in 36 (72%); over 3.5 in 10 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 25 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 33 of its own 50 (66%). At home: 19 of its 25 (76%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Fleetwood Town's own 50 matches read: Fleetwood Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 14 (28%). Fleetwood Town itself held the lead in 6, winning 4. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 25.
Rochdale -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 50 (60%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 14 (28%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 50 (56%). Away: 13 of its 25 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 50 (40%); failed to score in 5 (10%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Rochdale's own 50 matches read: Rochdale or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 29 (58%). Rochdale itself held the lead in 21, winning 19. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 25.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.