Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 52% of their games, both teams scoring in 49%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 47%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Swindon Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Accrington Stanley: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Swindon Town's numbers over its games, Accrington Stanley's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Swindon Town's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (52%). In Accrington Stanley's own 24 away matches read, 10 (42%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 47% of games.
The two sides
Swindon Town -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 50 (62%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 25 (64%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 50 (54%). At home: 17 of its 25 (68%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 11 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Swindon Town's own 50 matches read: Swindon Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Swindon Town itself held the lead in 15, winning 14. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 25.
Accrington Stanley -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 50 (42%); over 1.5 in 34 (68%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 24 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 50 (44%). Away: 10 of its 24 (42%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 19 (38%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Accrington Stanley's own 50 matches read: Accrington Stanley or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (40%). Accrington Stanley itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 24.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.