Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 47% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 26%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Fleetwood Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Rotherham United: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Fleetwood Town's numbers over its games, Rotherham United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Fleetwood Town's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (28%). In Rotherham United's own 25 away matches read, 6 (24%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 26% of games.
The two sides
Fleetwood Town -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 50 (42%); over 1.5 in 36 (72%); over 3.5 in 9 (18%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 25 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 33 of its own 50 (66%). At home: 19 of its 25 (76%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 50 (20%); failed to score in 11 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Fleetwood Town's own 50 matches read: Fleetwood Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 14 (28%). Fleetwood Town itself held the lead in 6, winning 4. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 25.
Rotherham United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 50 (52%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 50 (48%). Away: 9 of its 25 (36%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 50 (20%); failed to score in 19 (38%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Rotherham United's own 50 matches read: Rotherham United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (36%). Rotherham United itself held the lead in 5, winning 3. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 25.
Built 07:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.