Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 49% of their games, both teams scoring in 45%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Shrewsbury Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Bristol Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Shrewsbury Town's numbers over its games, Bristol Rovers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Shrewsbury Town's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (48%). In Bristol Rovers's own 25 away matches read, 12 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Shrewsbury Town -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 50 (44%); over 1.5 in 33 (66%); over 3.5 in 14 (28%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 25 (44%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 50 (44%). At home: 10 of its 25 (40%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 18 (36%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Shrewsbury Town's own 50 matches read: Shrewsbury Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Shrewsbury Town itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.
Bristol Rovers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 50 (46%). Away: 13 of its 25 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 15 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Bristol Rovers's own 50 matches read: Bristol Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 27 (54%). Bristol Rovers itself held the lead in 14, winning 13. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.
Built 03:22 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.