+0.18 points a game is the venue form gap, in Swindon Town's favour: Swindon Town takes 1.72 a game at home over the last two seasons, Walsall 1.54 away.
Swindon Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Walsall: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Swindon Town -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 3, drew 1, lost 1 of 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Last season at home: won 9, drew 6, lost 5 of 20, scoring 33 and conceding 22 -- 1.65 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Crewe Alexandra 0-1 at home; lost to Rochdale 0-1 away; drew with Accrington Stanley 1-1 at home; lost to Salford City 0-1 away; lost to York City 0-4 away.
The dugout
Every one of the 20 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Ian Holloway. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Walsall -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 1, drew 4, lost 0 of 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Last season away: won 9, drew 6, lost 6 of 21, scoring 31 and conceding 24 -- 1.57 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Fleetwood Town 1-1 away; drew with Tranmere Rovers 1-1 away; beat Port Vale 2-0 at home; drew with Rochdale 0-0 at home; drew with Exeter City 0-0 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 14 matches with one recorded (9, 5 apiece), most recently Grant Lee with 9. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.